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Is the oil industry on its way to recovery? Sanctioned projects are smaller and cheaper, while US tight oil buffers the decline in conventional spend.
The biggest current recruiter in upstream? Digitalisation, by a distance. Technology is already playing a part in downstream’s recovery from its lows a few years ago.
The industry is adapting to low oil prices. But can upstream grow in this environment? The question is a profound one, the answer in reality more about sustaining the business and maximising returns rather than pursuing growth.
2017 is set to be to be the third year Brent has traded at under half the heady levels of 2014.
New thinking and new ways are needed if operators are to usher in a new era of investment in conventional projects. A dip in oil prices below US$50/bbl may be just what’s needed to concentrate minds and encourage companies to challenge industry conventions.
Andrew Latham, our Head of Exploration Research, has built a global creaming curve for conventional exploration outside the USL48. Three themes stand out.
The firmer oil price we expect can only embolden the already resurgent US tight oil industry which is on course to displace the 1 million b/d OPEC has cut within the year. Three main aspects of the decision stand out.
‘Underwhelmed’ sums up investors’ indifferent response to the Majors’ Q1 results. What does upstream have to do to win back favour?
We forecast the share of gas in the peer group’s production will increase from 42% currently to over 50% by the end of the 2020s. ENI and BP will reach 60%, which is also Total’s 2035 target. There are three main themes behind the ‘dash for gas’.
How do traditional LNG suppliers, a group dominated by some of the biggest oil and gas producers, play a part in sorting things out? As the industry gathers in Tokyo for Gastech, we think there are four main elements that need addressed.
Our Corporate Analysis team, led by Tom Ellacott, shows that for the 60 companies we cover in depth, net debt has increased by 22% or US$142bn since 2014.
Canada's investor sentiment soured by environmental concerns and competition for capital from tight oil have already begun to reshape the domestic corporate landscape.
Not long ago, growth was the big thing. This results season suggests growth targets are making a come back.
If oil markets remain oversupplied and prices modest, there’s much Upstream operators can learn from Downstream, which has emerged thriving from the doldrums of a decade ago.
Despite the uptick in numbers, investment in greenfield conventional projects is stuck at a low ebb.
A strengthening flow of deals is a clear indicator that the M&A market is getting back to business as usual, and companies are starting to think of growth again.
Digital technology has a major part to play in the next stage of structural cost reduction, but oil and gas production is far removed from the leading edge of the 21st century tech revolution.
Chief Analyst Simon Flowers expects prices to rise and US tight oil to lead the industry out of the downturn.
Although the Presidency does not officially begin until January 20th 2017, the dearth of concrete policy proposals leaves a high level of uncertainty around the priorities of a Trump administration.
More operators are hinting through this Q3 results season at redeploying rigs in the coming months, potentially kick starting what will be tight oil’s second great growth phase.
Majors’ resource capture strategies are already becoming more balanced between exploration, unconventionals, DROs and M&A.
OPEC’s plan for production cuts signals a desire to support prices, even if the battle to wrest control of the market seems barely half won.
According to Chief Analyst Simon Flowers, there is finance galore for those with the right growth story. For the rest, slim pickings.
Chief Analyst Simon Flowers sees optimism after a flush of project FIDs, a pick up in US drilling and M&A activity.
As energy transition challenges mount, oil and gas Majors are pivoting back to upstream - while NOCs step up their low-carbon commitments. What does this mean for the industry's future?
A windfall for Russian oil producers and impetus for upstream investment
Tariffs could shake up oil and gas markets – find out how companies are preparing for price volatility, capital discipline and potential M&A opportunities in a turbulent landscape.
Surging gas demand set to push Henry Hub higher
The industry needs to look beyond short-term price volatility.
US LNG confidence is high, but is the industry heading toward oversupply? Explore the risks and opportunities revealed at Gastech 2025
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