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Different markets, different cycles. Mining companies suffered for their sins in the downturn a little earlier than the oil and gas sector. Now they are emerging into a new upturn, also ahead of the game.
A teenage growth spurt – US onshore liquids production is on a tear again. Already rebounding from the downturn for a year, right now it’s turbo-charged.
Delivering production growth after three years of low oil prices is an achievement, and combined with higher oil prices, was the primary factor behind good upstream earnings.
Mexico is hot – as hot as a habanero, the spiciest of Mexicano chillies. The bidding round for deep water blocks this week has attracted a who’s who of industry players, scooping up two-thirds of the blocks on offer.
What will US tight oil growth do to crude markets? The build-up in volumes early this decade led to a supply glut that undermined prices in 2014.
Obstacles to M&A have abounded these last three years. Money’s been tight, and for many companies acquisitive growth wasn’t needed after a period of heavy of investment earlier in the decade.
What are the prospects for tight oil outside the US? It's a question frequently asked on my travels, and with good reason. If US tight oil can emerge so quickly to disrupt the market, perhaps other plays out there might have the same effect.
Visiting Asia this month was an opportunity to gauge how oil and gas companies there are faring.
Why feeding the dog can undermine trust in the oil industry
Low oil prices, severe financial stretch, even moments of existential contemplation – it’s hardly been the right environment for successful business development.
US tight oil’s second phase of growth is well underway. We expect tight oil production to double from 4.7 million b/d today to around 9.5 million b/d in the mid-2020s – and our view is by no means the most bullish.
The economic fall out from Covid-19, the energy transition and tight finances exacerbated by low prices are three of the big challenges facing energy companies today. How much money is available to invest? Where best to spend it, on legacy oil and gas or new energy? And how will another lurch down in upstream investment affect the global oil market and price?
LNG demand is set to grow strongly out of the downturn, driven by Asia. A plethora of new projects is lining up to meet a sizeable supply gap that emerges by the end of the decade. What are the risks to our bullish demand scenario? How will new investment in supply be affected by rising ESG concerns? And which pre-FID projects are best placed to fill the supply gap?
How capital discipline led a return to value creation
The energy sector faces a very different future under President-elect Biden. What are the implications for the oil market? How will key US geopolitical relationships change? And can a Biden administration push through its climate change goals?
After a tumultuous 2020, what will shape the energy world in 2021? We look at five themes to watch – economic boom, action on climate change, oil demand, industry finances and upstream investment.
The Euro Majors are building new energy businesses as a key part of net carbon-neutral targets for 2050. How and when will they be able to demonstrate value from renewables investments?
The slower pace of the energy transition is influencing Big Oil’s capital allocation. What share of cash flow is the industry re-investing? How much will upstream spend rise in 2025? Why have NOCs become the biggest spenders on low carbon?
The first Edge was published in December 2015. To mark the 300th edition, here are our top game-changers in energy markets over the last eight years.
If the demand side of the equation is relatively predictable, oil supply is notoriously difficult. Many of the market’s most colourful moments through history have revolved around supply, with OPEC at the centre of most in the last six decades.
This decade promises unprecedented change in the way we produce and consume energy. Find out how that will take shape in this week's Edge.
Are we in the early stages of a sustained rise in commodity prices? And what does it mean for the US dollar? We posed these questions a year ago when robust global economic growth was driving commodity demand and the US dollar was starting to tip over from a 15-year high.
Not long ago, West Africa was at the top of the list for international E&P companies looking for high-impact growth.
In any commodity market, the marginal supplier makes hay when the sun shines. Oil prices are rampant, but tight oil is not behaving quite as expected. I caught up with R.T. Dukes, Head of US Lower 48 oil supply.
Will this latest bull run in oil prices trigger a new phase of upstream M&A? The sector is feeling emboldened again – a confidence that’s justified up to a point.
Global oil supply will break through the 100 million b/d mark for the first time later this year. Producers the world over, through innovation and risk-taking, have invariably contrived to meet the unstoppable train that is demand growth.
Life’s good again in the upstream sector. All the hard work through the downturn is paying dividends, literally. Brent over US$70/bbl means everyone is in the money given the sector’s cash flow breakeven of US$53/bbl.
The best accessible upstream growth opportunity in fifty years? US tight oil. Correction: the Permian Basin. Second correction: the Wolfcamp formation spread across the Delaware and Midland sub-basins.
Capital discipline or growth? It’s THE big question hanging over commodity producers, mining as much as oil and gas.
We've seen a wave of new energy deals by the Majors. The spectre of peak oil demand and disruption from renewables and EVs has sparked a response – if you can’t beat them, join them. 2017 was the year Big Oil started to position for a low-carbon future.
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