Commodity market report

United Kingdom gas markets long-term outlook H2 2017

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Report summary

Low LNG imports and outages at Rough - the UK's biggest storage facility - have seen NBP trading at a premium to TTF through the 2016/17 winter period. The cost of import flexibility has also increased due to the expiry of a long-term capacity contract on the BBL, the pipeline connecting Continental Europe to the UK via the Netherlands.However, with LNG imports expected to more than double in NW Europe from 2017, we expect the NBP premium to TTF to dissipate as the UK becomes the major gateway for LNG imports in Europe.

What's included

This report contains

  • Document

    United Kingdom gas markets long-term outlook H2 2017.xlsm

    XLSM 497.71 KB

  • Document

    United Kingdom gas markets long-term outlook H2 2017

    PDF 3.48 MB

  • Document

    United Kingdom gas markets long-term outlook H2 2017

    ZIP 3.91 MB

  • Document

    Executive summary

    PDF 90.57 KB

  • Document

    Demand

    PDF 111.72 KB

  • Document

    Supply

    PDF 88.71 KB

  • Document

    Infrastructure

    PDF 3.21 MB

  • Document

    Contracts

    PDF 116.82 KB

  • Document

    Supply-demand balances

    PDF 102.98 KB

  • Document

    Costs

    PDF 79.47 KB

  • Document

    Prices

    PDF 107.18 KB

Table of contents

Tables and charts

This report includes 15 images and tables including:

Images

  • UK gas price forecast
  • Gas flows into the UK
  • Key infrastructure
  • Supply demand gap
  • Supply-demand balances: Image 2
  • Demand: Image 1
  • Gas production profile - 2010 to 2035
  • Historical piped imports
  • UK contracted piped imports
  • Historical LNG imports
  • UK contracted LNG imports
  • Historical piped exports
  • UK contracted piped exports
  • Prices: Image 1

Tables

  • LNG regasification

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