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China coal long-term outlook H1 2017

China coal long-term outlook H1 2017

Report summary

Government policies have been used to control China's coal market for the second consecutive year. To ensure coal and related industries operate stably, the government has announced more policies affecting both supply and demand. We believe this intervention will continue in the near term.
China will drive global coal prices in the near term. However, growing demand elsewhere in Asia will drive China's domestic coal prices in the long term.
Demand for both thermal and metallurgical coal will decline in the long term. On the thermal coal side, energy demand per capita is reducing as China's economy shifts from manufacturing to services. Meanwhile, coal's share in energy demand is reducing as demand increases for renewable energy sources. On the metallurgical coal side, the use of more scrap in the steel industry is taking its toll on hot metal and subsequent coal demand.

What's included?

This report includes 6 file(s)

  • China coal long-term outlook H1 2017.pdf PDF - 1.62 MB
  • 01 CMS China Coal Executive Summary data.xls XLS - 4.12 MB
  • 02 CMS China Coal Prices data.xls XLS - 1.82 MB
  • 03 cms china coal demand data.xls XLS - 1.75 MB
  • 04 CMS China Coal Supply data.xls XLS - 372.50 KB
  • 05 CMS China Coal Infrastructure data.xls XLS - 1.20 MB


Global coal markets are facing extraordinary challenges and uncertainties. Factors such as global overcapacity, weakening demand and falling prices have created cautious investors. These factors have caused delays and cancellations of many mine and infrastructure projects, as well as lower growth rates at others.

This Thermal Coal Market Long Term Outlook report gives global and regional coal producers, consumers, transporters and investors detailed supply, demand and price forecasts for the coal industry, covering all the key domestic markets in North America, China and India.

Use this report to gain a better understanding of market dynamics, including revenue and demand potential for different coals. It will also help you identify trade patterns and changes affecting the thermal coal markets.

Wood Mackenzie is the only coal industry service provider that offers a market outlook integrated with other sector analyses, including macroeconomics, coal supply, steel markets and gas and power markets. Our coal analysts are based in the markets they analyse. They work with objective, proprietary data to help you maximise your current and future investments.

From market dynamics to trade patterns, we give you confidence in your strategic planning.

  • Executive summary
    • Near term
    • Long term
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