Commodity market report

China coal short-term outlook December 2016: market is rebalancing

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Report summary

Thermal coal prices fell in December driven by the ramp up in supply and cheaper long term contracts.We forecast the price in January will keep the downward trend by Chinese New Year holiday. Premium hard coking coal prices remained stable in December. However prices for other metallurgical coal brands started to fall RMB 10 30/t because of improving supply and weaker demand as a result of environmental restrictions on steel output.

What's included

This report contains

  • Document

    cms china short term market report data.xls

    XLS 2.11 MB

  • Document

    China coal short-term outlook December 2016: market is rebalancing

    PDF 399.66 KB

  • Document

    China coal short-term outlook December 2016: market is rebalancing

    ZIP 1.81 MB

Table of contents

  • Executive summary
  • Prices
  • Demand
  • Supply
  • Policy and regulation

Tables and charts

This report includes 12 images and tables including:

Images

  • Monthly coal-fired generation, TWh
  • Monthly hydropower generation, TWh
  • Monthly throughput at Qinhuangdao, Mt
  • Monthly throughput at Huanghua, Mt
  • Monthly hot metal production, Mt
  • Monthly metallurgical coke production, Mt
  • Supply: Image 1
  • Supply: Image 2
  • Prices: Image 1
  • Hard coking coal price arbitrage at Tangshan steel mill, US$/t nominal

Tables

  • Executive summary: Table 1
  • Differences in 13th five-year plans and Wood Mackenzie outlooks

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