Commodity market report

China coal short-term outlook January 2018: cold snaps send prices higher

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Report summary

In January, thermal and metallurgical coal prices jumped 8% and 10% month-on-month, respectively. The largest driver of the price increases was strengthening demand. But the Chinese New Year holiday slowdown will start to play a role in February. We expect the downtime will have a greater impact on demand than supply. That said, we won't see any further increase in domestic prices in February.

What's included

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    China coal short-term outlook January 2018: cold snaps send prices higher

    PDF 393.45 KB

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Table of contents

    • Key market data
    • Cold weather will lift coal generation to a record high in January
    • Metallurgical coal demand strengthened due to restocking for the Chinese New Year
    • Higher-than-usual domestic coal supply expected during the holiday
    • Potential relaxation on seaborne coal imports

Tables and charts

This report includes 10 images and tables including:

Images

  • Monthly coal-fired generation, TWh
  • Monthly hydropower generation, TWh
  • Monthly throughput at Qinhuangdao, Mt
  • Monthly throughput at Huanghua, Mt
  • Monthly hot metal production, Mt
  • Monthly metallurgical coke production, Mt
  • Prices: Image 1
  • Prices: Image 2

Tables

  • Executive summary: Table 1
  • Supply: Table 1

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