Commodity market report
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7 Pages

China coal short-term outlook March 2016

China coal short-term outlook March 2016

Report summary

Chinese domestic coal prices have risen in the past two months as transport interruptions due to rough weather conditions lowered coal stocks at northern ports. Additionally, the government announcement to rationalise overcapacity in the coal and steel sectors improved market sentiment. Can this uptrend in prices continue in 2016?

What's included?

This report includes 2 file(s)

  • China coal short-term outlook March 2016 PDF - 308.79 KB 7 Pages, 1 Tables, 9 Figures
  • cms china short term market report data.xls XLS - 1.60 MB


Global coal markets are facing extraordinary challenges and uncertainties. Factors such as global overcapacity, weakening demand and falling prices have created cautious investors. These factors have caused delays and cancellations of many mine and infrastructure projects, as well as lower growth rates at others.

This Thermal Coal Market Short Term Outlook report gives global and regional coal producers, consumers, transporters and investors detailed supply, demand and price forecasts for the coal industry, covering all the key domestic markets in North America, China and India.

Use this report to gain a better understanding of market dynamics, including revenue and demand potential for different coals. It will also help you identify trade patterns and changes affecting the thermal coal markets.

Wood Mackenzie is the only coal industry service provider that offers a market outlook integrated with other sector analyses, including macroeconomics, coal supply, steel markets and gas and power markets. Our coal analysts are based in the markets they analyse. They work with objective, proprietary data to help you maximise your current and future investments.

From market dynamics to trade patterns, we give you confidence in your strategic planning.

  • Executive summary
  • Prices
    • Staying elevated, for now
  • Demand
    • 4% year-on-year decrease in 2015; further fall expected in 2016
  • Supply
    • Capacity rationalisation policies announced but implementation will be key

In this report there are 10 tables or charts, including:

  • Executive summary
    • Key market data
  • Prices
    • Key thermal prices - history and forecast, US$/t
  • Demand
    • Coal-fired generation (TWh)
    • Hydro generation (TWh)
    • Gencos stocks (Mt, days burn)
    • Port stocks (Mt)
    • Metallurgical coke production (Mt)
    • Hot metal production (Mt)
  • Supply
    • Thermal coal production and imports (Mt)
    • Metallurgical coal production and imports (Mt)
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