Commodity market report
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9 Pages

China coal short-term outlook September 2016

China coal short-term outlook September 2016

Report summary

Seaborne coal imports reached 24 Mt in August, the highest since December 2014, as China struggled with supply shortfall. NDRC announced a series of policies to increase supply for the rest of the year, effectively relaxing 276-working-day policy for selected mines.

What's included?

This report includes 2 file(s)

  • China coal short-term outlook September 2016 PDF - 401.05 KB 9 Pages, 1 Tables, 10 Figures
  • cms china short term market report data.xls XLS - 1.90 MB


Global coal markets are facing extraordinary challenges and uncertainties. Factors such as global overcapacity, weakening demand and falling prices have created cautious investors. These factors have caused delays and cancellations of many mine and infrastructure projects, as well as lower growth rates at others.

This Coal Market Short Term Outlook report gives global and regional coal producers, consumers, transporters and investors detailed supply, demand and price forecasts for the coal industry, covering all the key domestic markets in North America, China and India.

Use this report to gain a better understanding of market dynamics, including revenue and demand potential for different coals. It will also help you identify trade patterns and changes affecting the coal markets.

Wood Mackenzie is the only coal industry service provider that offers a market outlook integrated with other sector analyses, including macroeconomics, coal supply, steel markets and gas and power markets. Our coal analysts are based in the markets they analyse. They work with objective, proprietary data to help you maximise your current and future investments.

From market dynamics to trade patterns, we give you confidence in your strategic planning.

  • Executive summary
    • Key market data
  • Prices
    • Tight supply and restocking to support thermal coal price
    • Seasonal high demand amidst tight supply boosts metallurgical coal prices
      • Key thermal coal prices – history and forecast, US$/t nominal
      • Hard coking coal price arbitrage at Tangshan steel mill, US$/t nominal
  • Demand
    • Thermal coal demand falls in September due to cool weather
    • China starts trial on quota on energy consumption
    • Seasonal raw materials restocking supports metallurgical coal demand
  • Supply
    • 276-day policy uncertainty affects market sentiment
    • Coal imports remain upward trend

In this report there are 11 tables or charts, including:

  • Executive summary
    • Executive summary: Table 1
  • Prices
    • Prices: Image 1
    • Prices: Image 2
  • Demand
    • Monthly coal-fired generation, TWh
    • Demand: Image 2
    • Demand: Image 3
    • Monthly throughput at Huanghua, Mt
    • Demand: Image 5
    • Demand: Image 6
  • Supply
    • Supply: Image 1
    • Supply: Image 2
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