In September thermal coal and metallurgical coal prices climbed 15% and 9% month on month respectively. The rises came despite the government pushing for speedier coal production. We have yet seen a material rise in output. Ongoing safety inspections ahead of the 19th National Congress in mid October are mainly to blame. Although the inspections will eventually wane given the need to ensure enough supply to meet winter heating demand we don t expect the thermal coal supply tightness will ease by the end of 2017.