Commodity market report

Coal bull run losing steam: Global thermal coal short-term outlook November 2016

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Report summary

Thermal coal's bull-run is beginning to sputter. Physical trades have fallen US$25/t from their peak in mid-November. The surprise election of Donald Trump is not the reason. Chinese policy is; the relaxation of the 276-work day capacity restraints until the end of March theoretically eases Chinese supply. A weaker Renminbi (as a consequence of stronger US dollar since the election) also helps keep international price ceilings lower. Yet demand is still strong, especially in regions facing largescale nuclear outages - South Korea and Europe mainly.

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  • Document

    wm coal monthly thermal trade november 2016.xls

    XLS 1.78 MB

  • Document

    Coal bull run losing steam: Global thermal coal short-term outlook November 2016

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Table of contents

    • Key market data
  • Prices
    • Australia: Damage to Queensland Bulk Handling coal terminal
    • Australia: Delay in approval of New Acland Stage 3
    • Australia: Maintenance on Hunter Valley rail line
    • China: Continued decline in production, but losses narrowing
    • Colombian supplies into the Atlantic: possible alternatives elsewhere
    • Indonesia: exports continue rise faster than domestic consumption
    • US: new export deals begin to flow into market

Tables and charts

This report includes 4 images and tables including:

Images

  • Prices: Image 1
  • Prices: Image 2
  • Demand: Image 1

Tables

  • Executive summary: Table 1

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