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Failure to develop the Galilee basin will trigger soaring thermal coal prices in the future

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06 August 2015

Failure to develop the Galilee basin will trigger soaring thermal coal prices in the future

Report summary

Pessimism is growing in the Galilee basin with Adani’s announcement that engineering work will be halted at its Carmichael project. Once seen to be inevitable, basin development now seems uncertain given weak markets, rising costs, financing concerns and environmental opposition. Our analysis shows that without Galilee basin exports, seaborne thermal coal markets will witness up to a 20% increase in price over time.

Table of contents

Tables and charts

This report includes 9 images and tables including:

  • Failure to develop the Galilee basin will trigger soaring thermal coal prices in the future: Image 1
  • Change in demand by rank given no Galilee basin exports (Mt)
  • Change from base case in high rank demand given no Galilee basin exports (Mt)
  • Change from base case in high rank demand given no Galilee basin exports (Mt)
  • Change in supply given no Galilee basin exports (Mtpa)
  • Key changes in trade flows with no Galilee basin exports (Mt)
  • Failure to develop the Galilee basin will trigger soaring thermal coal prices in the future: Image 6
  • Price forecast for selected marker coals, two cases ($/t)
  • Failure to develop the Galilee basin will trigger soaring thermal coal prices in the future: Table 2

What's included

This report contains:

  • Document

    Failure to develop the Galilee basin will trigger soaring thermal coal prices in the future

    PDF 332.33 KB

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