Insight
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6 Pages

Falling oil prices – what it means for US coal transportation


Falling oil prices – what it means for US coal transportation

Report summary

In this Insight, we examine the effect of lower oil and diesel costs on railroad fuel surcharges, and the resulting change on domestic coal prices and demand compared to oil forecasts used in our H2 2014 Long-term Outlook (LTO).

What's included?

This report includes 2 file(s)

  • Falling oil prices – what it means for US coal transportation PDF - 451.60 KB 6 Pages, 0 Tables, 6 Figures
  • Falling oil prices US coal transportation.xls XLS - 95.50 KB

Description

This Coal Insight report highlights the key issues surrounding this topic, and draws out the implications for those involved.

Participants, suppliers and advisors can use it to look at the trends, risks and issues within the coal industry and gain an alternative point of view when making decisions.

Wood Mackenzie is the only coal industry service provider that offers a market outlook integrated with other sector analyses, including macroeconomics, coal supply, steel markets and gas and power markets.

Our coal analysts are based in the markets they analyse. They work with objective, proprietary data to help you maximise your current and future decision making. From market dynamics to trade patterns, we give you confidence in your strategic planning.

  • Executive Summary
  • Forecasted and historical fuel prices
    • Forecasted fuel surcharges hit nadir in June with slight increase in 2016
    • Lower fuel surcharges benefit PRB producers the most

In this report there are 6 tables or charts, including:

  • Executive Summary
  • Forecasted and historical fuel prices
    • WTI and diesel historic and forecast prices
    • Historic fuel surcharges by railroad
    • Fuel surcharge forecast for coal deliveries by railroad
    • Change in coal demand by basin resulting from fuel surcharge reduction
    • Change in FOB coal prices by basin: base case vs lower surcharge
    • Change in delivered coal prices by basin: base case vs lower surcharge
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