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4 Pages

Fenoco railway curfew is the latest setback for Colombian producers


Fenoco railway curfew is the latest setback for Colombian producers

Report summary

The suspension of overnight shipments by the Fenoco railway is the latest setback for Colombian producers following a series of labour strikes and flooding over the past several years. Our base case forecast for 2015 exports is 84.2 million tonnes, representing a growth of 8% over the 78.1 million tonnes exported in 2014. However, we estimate the impact of the curfew to be 6.7 million tonnes, which would result in a decline in exports of 1% compared to last year.

What's included?

This report includes 2 file(s)

  • Fenoco railway curfew is the latest setback for Colombian producers PDF - 285.45 KB 4 Pages, 1 Tables, 2 Figures
  • Fenoco railway curfew is the latest setback client .xls XLS - 175.50 KB

Description

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  • Executive summary
    • Court suspends overnight Fenoco operations
    • A full year ban will cost both producers and the government
    • Big impact in the short-term, but minimal in the long-term
    • Thermal market implications/opportunities

In this report there are 3 tables or charts, including:

  • Executive summary
    • Fenoco curfew impact on 2015 production
    • Fenoco curfew long-term impact
    • Atlantic market coal supply margins at ARA prices at US$63/t – energy adjusted
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