The global supply of metallurgical coal continues to exceed demand, holding prices very low. We project total seaborne demand to grow from 278 Mt in 2013 to 383 Mt in 2035. Australia should capture most of this business. The price for the benchmark low-volatile coal is forecast to modestly increase to an average of US$161/t for full-year 2014 and surpass US$200/t by 2021. From 2021, prices will continue to rise slightly, as more project tonnes requiring incentive pricing are required.
This report includes 27 file(s)
Global metallurgical coal long-term outlook H2 2013 PDF - 43.36 MB 144 Pages, 21 Tables, 140 Figures
CMS Met Coal Prices data November.xls XLS - 395.00 KB
CMS Met Coal Demand overview data November.xls XLS - 3.52 MB
CMS Met Coal Supply overview data November.xls XLS - 5.18 MB
CMS Met Infrastructure data November.xls XLS - 2.30 MB
CMS Met Coal Ocean freight and trade data November.xls XLS - 4.11 MB
CMS Met Coal SDBalance Risks data November.xls XLS - 6.33 MB
CMS Met Region Americas Brazil data November.xls XLS - 2.27 MB
CMS Met Region Americas Mexico data November.xls XLS - 2.93 MB
CMS Met Region Asia China data November.xls XLS - 316.00 KB
CMS Met Region Asia India data November.xls XLS - 281.50 KB
CMS Met Region Asia Japan data November.xls XLS - 268.00 KB
CMS Met Region Asia South Korea data November.xls XLS - 217.00 KB
CMS Met Region Asia Taiwan data November.xls XLS - 216.50 KB
CMS Met Region Asia Vietnam data November.xls XLS - 546.50 KB
CMS Met Region Europe Austria data November.xls XLS - 190.50 KB
CMS Met Region Europe Belgium data November.xls XLS - 186.50 KB
CMS Met Region Europe France data November.xls XLS - 3.00 MB
CMS Met Region Europe Germany data November.xls XLS - 2.97 MB
CMS Met Region Europe Italy data November.xls XLS - 3.65 MB
CMS Met Region Europe Netherlands data November.xls XLS - 180.50 KB
CMS Met Region Europe Poland data November.xls XLS - 189.50 KB
CMS Met Region Europe Spain data November.xls XLS - 188.50 KB
CMS Met Region Europe Sweden data November.xls XLS - 179.50 KB
CMS Met Region Europe Turkey data November.xls XLS - 800.00 KB
CMS Met Region Europe Ukraine data November.xls XLS - 592.00 KB
CMS Met Region Europe United Kingdom data November.xls XLS - 672.00 KB
Global coal markets are facing extraordinary challenges and uncertainties. Factors such as global overcapacity, weakening demand and falling prices have created cautious investors. These factors have caused delays and cancellations of many mine and infrastructure projects, as well as lower growth rates at others.
This Metallurgical Coal Market Long Term Outlook report gives global and regional coal producers, consumers, transporters and investors detailed supply, demand and price forecasts for the coal industry, covering all the key domestic markets in North America, China and India.
Use this report to gain a better understanding of market dynamics, including revenue and demand potential for different coals. It will also help you identify trade patterns and changes affecting the metallurgical coal markets.
Wood Mackenzie is the only coal industry service provider that offers a market outlook integrated with other sector analyses, including macroeconomics, coal supply, steel markets and gas and power markets. Our coal analysts are based in the markets they analyse. They work with objective, proprietary data to help you maximise your current and future investments.
From market dynamics to trade patterns, we give you confidence in your strategic planning.
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Commodity market report | Nov 2013
Global metallurgical coal long-term outlook H2 2013
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