Commodity market report
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11 Pages

Global metallurgical coal short-term outlook August 2016

Global metallurgical coal short-term outlook August 2016

Report summary

Combined effect of China's 276-days working policy and weather-related disruptions have tightened the met coal market considerably boosting spot prices as a result. 

What's included?

This report includes 2 file(s)

  • Global metallurgical coal short-term outlook August 2016 PDF - 370.59 KB 11 Pages, 1 Tables, 7 Figures
  • cms metallurgical trade short term outlook august.xls XLS - 1.91 MB


Global coal markets are facing extraordinary challenges and uncertainties. Factors such as global overcapacity, weakening demand and falling prices have created cautious investors. These factors have caused delays and cancellations of many mine and infrastructure projects, as well as lower growth rates at others.

This Metallurgical Coal Market Short Term Outlook report gives global and regional coal producers, consumers, transporters and investors detailed supply, demand and price forecasts for the coal industry, covering all the key domestic markets in North America, China and India.

Use this report to gain a better understanding of market dynamics, including revenue and demand potential for different coals. It will also help you identify trade patterns and changes affecting the metallurgical coal markets.

Wood Mackenzie is the only coal industry service provider that offers a market outlook integrated with other sector analyses, including macroeconomics, coal supply, steel markets and gas and power markets. Our coal analysts are based in the markets they analyse. They work with objective, proprietary data to help you maximise your current and future investments.

From market dynamics to trade patterns, we give you confidence in your strategic planning.

  • Executive summary
  • Prices
    • August spot HCC price growth has similarities to market conditions after the 2011 Queensland floods
    • Mine margins on the rise
    • Q4 contract talks complicated by spot price surge and volatility
    • Price outlook depends on China supply recovery
  • Supply
    • Australian mines running at close to capacity
    • Warrior Met Coal restarts the No. 4 mine
    • Virginia Conservation Legacy Fund to purchase Walter’s Canadian assets
    • Peabody Energy's 2016-21 action plan
  • Demand
    • Is Chinese demand growth for metallurgical coal imports for real?
      • China coal output and transport slows due to flooding

In this report there are 8 tables or charts, including:

  • Executive summary
    • Key market data
  • Prices
    • Seaborne metallurgical coal FOB cost curve (adjusted to HCC benchmark), US$/t
    • Key metallurgical coal prices: history and forecast, US$/t nominal
  • Supply
    • Queensland metallurgical coal exports, Mt
  • Demand
    • Global and Chinese steel production, Mt
    • Steel production - other majors, Mt
    • Global and Chinese hot metal production, Mt
    • Hot metal production - other majors, Mt
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