Commodity market report

Global metallurgical coal short-term outlook January 2017: Price support crumbles as supply grows

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Report summary

The supply recovery in Australia and China has exposed the weak foundations of last years meteoric price rises. January witnessed a swift correction with HCC prices eventually finding some support at around US$170/t. February may be a period of stability as buyers return from the lunar new year holidays but the underlying trend of supply growth and flat demand will push prices lower through the rest of the year. But supply intervention remains firmly on the agenda in China fuelling huge uncertainty. The twin objectives of consolidation in the coal and steel sectors whilst preserving price stability have no guarantee of success. The risk of large market imbalances during the year is real.

What's included

This report contains

  • Document

    cms metallurgical trade short term outlook january 2017.xls

    XLS 2.02 MB

  • Document

    Global metallurgical coal short-term outlook January 2017: Price support crumbles as supply grows

    PDF 336.67 KB

  • Document

    Global metallurgical coal short-term outlook January 2017: Price support crumbles as supply grows

    ZIP 1.60 MB

Table of contents

  • Executive summary
  • Prices
  • Supply
  • Demand

Tables and charts

This report includes 8 images and tables including:

Images

  • Key prices - history and forecasts
  • Queensland exports by port 2011-2016
  • Mongolian exports 2011 to 2016
  • Crude steel production - Global and China
  • Crude steel production - other major producers
  • Blast furnace iron production - Global and China
  • Blast furnace iron production - other major producers

Tables

  • Key market data

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