Commodity market report
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10 Pages

Global metallurgical coal short-term outlook September 2016


Global metallurgical coal short-term outlook September 2016

Report summary

Wood Mackenzie forecasts the Q4 2016 low-volatile coking coal price at US$200/t, more than double the Q3 price, due to an increase in import demand from China. A policy to restrict Chinese miners from working over 276 days/year caused import demand to rise. As the global supply is very tight, spot prices have risen to ~US$215/t. The rule was relaxed 29 September for mines designated very safe, but the exact volume of increased output is not yet known. Prices should recede following this move.

What's included?

This report includes 2 file(s)

  • Global metallurgical coal short-term outlook September 2016 PDF - 339.77 KB 10 Pages, 1 Tables, 6 Figures
  • cms metallurgical trade short term outlook september.xls XLS - 1.92 MB

Description

Global coal markets are facing extraordinary challenges and uncertainties. Factors such as global overcapacity, weakening demand and falling prices have created cautious investors. These factors have caused delays and cancellations of many mine and infrastructure projects, as well as lower growth rates at others.

This Metallurgical Coal Market Short Term Outlook report gives global and regional coal producers, consumers, transporters and investors detailed supply, demand and price forecasts for the coal industry, covering all the key domestic markets in North America, China and India.

Use this report to gain a better understanding of market dynamics, including revenue and demand potential for different coals. It will also help you identify trade patterns and changes affecting the metallurgical coal markets.

Wood Mackenzie is the only coal industry service provider that offers a market outlook integrated with other sector analyses, including macroeconomics, coal supply, steel markets and gas and power markets. Our coal analysts are based in the markets they analyse. They work with objective, proprietary data to help you maximise your current and future investments.

From market dynamics to trade patterns, we give you confidence in your strategic planning.

  • Executive summary
    • Key market data
  • Prices
    • Key metallurgical coal prices: history and forecast, US$/t nominal
  • Supply
    • Queensland ports: metallurgical exports (Mt)
  • Demand

In this report there are 7 tables or charts, including:

  • Executive summary
    • Executive summary: Table 1
  • Prices
    • Prices: Image 1
  • Supply
    • Supply: Image 1
  • Demand
    • Demand: Image 1
    • Demand: Image 2
    • Global and Chinese blast furnace iron production (Mt)
    • Blast furnace iron production - other major producers (Mt)
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Wood Mackenzie, a Verisk Analytics business, has been a trusted source of commercial intelligence for the world's natural resources sector for more than 40 years, empowering clients to make better strategic decisions with objective analysis and advice.

We work across every sector of oil, gas, power, renewables, chemicals, metals and mining, covering more than 150 countries. Our proprietary data and models are at the core of everything we do, ensuring our independent asset and company valuations are thoroughly robust and that we offer an accurate forward-looking view of economic indicators such as market supply, demand and price trends.

Our 500+ analysts are based in the regions they cover, cultivating an unrivalled depth of understanding to help clients accurately identify new opportunities, define their strategy and improve business performance.

At every stage, our teams readily collaborate and share their insight to provide an integrated perspective across entire industries. It is this unique and rigorous analytical approach that ensures we are recognised as the industry standard by the world’s most innovative organisations.