Commodity market report
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10 Pages

Global metallurgical coal short-term outlook September 2016

Global metallurgical coal short-term outlook September 2016

Report summary

Wood Mackenzie forecasts the Q4 2016 low-volatile coking coal price at US$200/t, more than double the Q3 price, due to an increase in import demand from China. A policy to restrict Chinese miners from working over 276 days/year caused import demand to rise. As the global supply is very tight, spot prices have risen to ~US$215/t. The rule was relaxed 29 September for mines designated very safe, but the exact volume of increased output is not yet known. Prices should recede following this move.

What's included?

This report includes 2 file(s)

  • Global metallurgical coal short-term outlook September 2016 PDF - 339.77 KB 10 Pages, 1 Tables, 6 Figures
  • cms metallurgical trade short term outlook september.xls XLS - 1.92 MB


Global coal markets are facing extraordinary challenges and uncertainties. Factors such as global overcapacity, weakening demand and falling prices have created cautious investors. These factors have caused delays and cancellations of many mine and infrastructure projects, as well as lower growth rates at others.

This Metallurgical Coal Market Short Term Outlook report gives global and regional coal producers, consumers, transporters and investors detailed supply, demand and price forecasts for the coal industry, covering all the key domestic markets in North America, China and India.

Use this report to gain a better understanding of market dynamics, including revenue and demand potential for different coals. It will also help you identify trade patterns and changes affecting the metallurgical coal markets.

Wood Mackenzie is the only coal industry service provider that offers a market outlook integrated with other sector analyses, including macroeconomics, coal supply, steel markets and gas and power markets. Our coal analysts are based in the markets they analyse. They work with objective, proprietary data to help you maximise your current and future investments.

From market dynamics to trade patterns, we give you confidence in your strategic planning.

  • Executive summary
    • Key market data
  • Prices
    • Key metallurgical coal prices: history and forecast, US$/t nominal
  • Supply
    • Queensland ports: metallurgical exports (Mt)
  • Demand

In this report there are 7 tables or charts, including:

  • Executive summary
    • Executive summary: Table 1
  • Prices
    • Prices: Image 1
  • Supply
    • Supply: Image 1
  • Demand
    • Demand: Image 1
    • Demand: Image 2
    • Global and Chinese blast furnace iron production (Mt)
    • Blast furnace iron production - other major producers (Mt)
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