Wood Mackenzie forecasts the Q4 2016 low-volatile coking coal price at US$200/t, more than double the Q3 price, due to an increase in import demand from China. A policy to restrict Chinese miners from working over 276 days/year caused import demand to rise. As the global supply is very tight, spot prices have risen to ~US$215/t. The rule was relaxed 29 September for mines designated very safe, but the exact volume of increased output is not yet known. Prices should recede following this move.