Commodity market report

Global thermal coal short-term outlook April 2017: prices retreat as supply returns in China and Australia

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Report summary

Thermal coal prices in April are back to the lows seen last in October 2016. There was a little bump earlier in the month due to Cyclone Debbie, the effect of which is now going away and supply is returning. The crucial element now is production trends in China and utility restocking ahead of summer demand.

What's included

This report contains

Table of contents

  • Executive summary
    • Seaborne thermal coal demand-supply balance and Newcastle price change (Mt, %)
    • China: coal and hydro power generation, and utility stocks
    • India: coal quality downgrade, weak sales realisation and commercial mining
    • Europe: first full coal-free day in the UK since 1882
    • Australia: cyclone impact is receding in Queensland
    • Indonesia: miners respond to higher coal prices
    • Canada proposing to halt US coal shipments

Tables and charts

This report includes 5 images and tables including:

Images

  • Prices: Image 1
  • China thermal coal price arbitrage and imports (US$/t, Mt)
  • Key prices - current and forward (US$/t)
  • Key prices - history and forecast (nominal, US$/t)

Tables

  • Key market data

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