Commodity market report

Global thermal coal short-term outlook June 2017: Chinese authorities stymie imports amid strong demand

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Report summary

Warm weather and weak hydro generation kept seaborne demand from China strong this month. Low rank coal continues to be imported by Chinese utilities to maintain adequate stockpiles to meet any unexpected increases in power demand. But the Chinese government is trying to stymie the inflow of seaborne coal by increasing customs verifications at ports and preventing deliveries without permits. The increased red-tape heightens the risk of weaker prices in Asian markets.

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    Global thermal coal short-term outlook June 2017: Chinese authorities stymie imports amid strong demand

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    Global thermal coal short-term outlook June 2017: Chinese authorities stymie imports amid strong demand

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Table of contents

    • Key market data
    • Key prices - history and forecast (nominal, US$/t)
    • India: Power plant stocks and imports decline
    • China: Falling demand and reorganization of industry
    • South Korea: No change in imports despite President Moon Jae-in's plan to reduce coal power
    • Japan: Joint deliveries from US reduce freight cost
    • Australia: Yancoal preferred bidder to take over Rio Tinto assets
    • Australia: New Acland mine still faces changes to expansion
    • Australia: Adani gives the go-ahead to the Carmichael thermal coal project
    • Australia's mine and project thermal export production growth from 2016 to 2026
    • Indonesia: Supply shortage due to rain and holidays
    • South Africa: New mining charter drives away foreign investment
    • South Africa: Congestion at Richards Bay causing increases in delay and demurrage

Tables and charts

This report includes 5 images and tables including:

Images

  • Prices: Image 1
  • Demand: Image 1
  • Demand: Image 2
  • Supply: Image 1

Tables

  • Executive summary: Table 1

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