Commodity market report

Global thermal coal short-term outlook May 2017 - increased protectionism dampens demand

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Report summary

Market has taken a bearish turn since the start of May. Declining Chinese domestic coal prices dragged down Pacific prices. Increased protectionism in China and India and the election of pro renewables president in South Korea the fourth largest importer of thermal coal add on to the uncertainties. We do not see a lot of upside in prices for remainder of 2017. Newcastle price is expected to decline to US$74/t in Q3 before falling further to US$73/t in Q4 this year. ARA will average US$70/t in H2.

What's included

This report contains

  • Document

    wm coal monthly thermal trade may 2017.xls

    XLS 2.05 MB

  • Document

    Global thermal coal short-term outlook May 2017 - increased protectionism dampens demand

    PDF 320.24 KB

  • Document

    Global thermal coal short-term outlook May 2017 - increased protectionism dampens demand

    ZIP 1.76 MB

Table of contents

  • Executive summary
  • Prices
  • Demand
  • Supply

Tables and charts

This report includes 5 images and tables including:

Images

  • Prices: Image 1
  • China domestic coal prices (RMB/t)
  • Key prices - history and forecast (nominal, US$/t)
  • Japan nuclear restarts

Tables

  • Key market data

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