Commodity market report
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7 Pages

Global thermal coal short-term outlook November 2015

Global thermal coal short-term outlook November 2015

Report summary

The market is rife with competition, excessive capacity, hold-out buyers, low currency valuations at major exporters and supplier cost reductions; price recovery is therefore improbable through 2016. Supply rationalization remains stubbornly subdued.  Chinese thermal coal imports were down 26% in October to a paltry 10 Mt. That puts total year-end imports at around 145 Mt, down 61 Mt compared to 206 Mt in 2014.


What's included?

This report includes 2 file(s)

  • Global thermal coal short-term outlook November 2015 PDF - 310.18 KB 7 Pages, 1 Tables, 1 Figures
  • WM coal monthly thermal trade November.xls XLS - 506.50 KB


Global coal markets are facing extraordinary challenges and uncertainties. Factors such as global overcapacity, weakening demand and falling prices have created cautious investors. These factors have caused delays and cancellations of many mine and infrastructure projects, as well as lower growth rates at others.

This Thermal Coal Market Short Term Outlook report gives global and regional coal producers, consumers, transporters and investors detailed supply, demand and price forecasts for the coal industry, covering all the key domestic markets in North America, China and India.

Use this report to gain a better understanding of market dynamics, including revenue and demand potential for different coals. It will also help you identify trade patterns and changes affecting the thermal coal markets.

Wood Mackenzie is the only coal industry service provider that offers a market outlook integrated with other sector analyses, including macroeconomics, coal supply, steel markets and gas and power markets. Our coal analysts are based in the markets they analyse. They work with objective, proprietary data to help you maximise your current and future investments.

From market dynamics to trade patterns, we give you confidence in your strategic planning.

  • Executive summary
  • Prices
  • Demand
    • India hesitates
    • United Kingdom energy policy
    • Rail fee reductions in China
    • Renminbi SDR inclusion
  • Supply
    • Indonesian exports remain under pressure
    • Abbot point port expansion hopes after Carmichael approval; others denied
    • Longmay Group: job cuts, bailout and mine tragedy

In this report there are 2 tables or charts, including:

  • Executive summary
    • Key market data table
  • Prices
    • Key prices - history and forecast, nominal US$/t
  • Demand
  • Supply
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We work across every sector of oil, gas, power, renewables, chemicals, metals and mining, covering more than 150 countries. Our proprietary data and models are at the core of everything we do, ensuring our independent asset and company valuations are thoroughly robust and that we offer an accurate forward-looking view of economic indicators such as market supply, demand and price trends.

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