Commodity Market Report

India coal short-term outlook March 2018: growing economy sorting out the pains for coal imports

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Report summary

Index of Industrial production grew more than 7% in December and February. Cement production was up 20%, steel production 5% and power generation 6% during December to February period as compared to the year before. This was all on a low base, as late 2016 and early 2017 was impacted by Demonetisation in November 2016. However, all this growth resulted in a 5% increase in coal demand over the same period. With several factors supporting India's growth story in 2018, we look at the potential impact of this demand on the seaborne market for thermal and metallurgical coal.

What's included

This report contains

  • Document

    cms india short term outlook march 2018.xls

    XLS 1022.50 KB

  • Document

    India coal short-term outlook March 2018: growing economy sorting out the pains for coal imports

    PDF 442.90 KB

  • Document

    India coal short-term outlook March 2018: growing economy sorting out the pains for coal imports

    ZIP 1009.08 KB

Table of contents

    • Key market data
    • Cost pressure forcing CIL to increase prices
    • Higher coal-fired output and industrial production to support thermal coal demand
    • Industry consolidation to improve steel output and met coal demand
    • Coal sector reforms get a boost with commercial mining

Tables and charts

This report includes 11 images and tables including:

Tables

  • Executive summary: Table 1

Images

  • Key thermal prices – history/forecast, nominal US$/t
  • Key met prices – history/forecast, nominal US$/t
  • CIL performance in spot market, Mt and %
  • CFR India prices of imported coal, US$/t
  • Monthly coal-fired generation, TWh
  • Monthly hot metal and steel production, Mt
  • Domestic coal stocks at power plants, Mt
  • Imported coal stocks at power plants, Mt
  • CIL raw coal production, Mt
  • CIL coal despatches, Mt

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