Commodity market report

NDRC shows price leadership: China coal short-term outlook November 2016

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Report summary

China's benchmark thermal coal prices started to decrease in November due to a series of actions by the NDRC. Meanwhile, metallurgical coal prices continued its upward trend.

What's included

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  • Document

    NDRC shows price leadership: China coal short-term outlook November 2016

    PDF 457.35 KB

  • Document

    cms china short term market report data.xls

    XLS 2.06 MB

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    NDRC shows price leadership: China coal short-term outlook November 2016

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Table of contents

  • Executive summary
    • The NDRC aims to stem the rapid rise in thermal coal prices, and succeeds
    • Metallurgical coal prices gain on lingering supply shortage and robust demand
    • Heating began earlier than usual
    • Weak demand prompts cement plant suspensions in some regions
    • Suspending operations is the new normal, but has limited impact on coal demand
    • The 13th FYP for power curbs coal-fired plants
    • Robust metallurgical coal demand buoyed by high crude steel output
    • Released production helped price rationalisation
    • Coal imports weakened by less competitive seaborne coal prices

Tables and charts

This report includes 12 images and tables including:

Images

  • Key thermal coal prices – history and forecast, US$/t nominal
  • Hard coking coal price arbitrage at Tangshan steel mill, US$/t nominal
  • Monthly coal-fired generation, TWh
  • Monthly hydropower generation, TWh
  • Monthly throughput at Qinhuangdao, Mt
  • Monthly throughput at Huanghua, Mt
  • Monthly hot metal production, Mt
  • Monthly metallurgical coke production, Mt
  • Supply: Image 1
  • Supply: Image 2

Tables

  • Key market data
  • Power capacity in 2020 according to the 13th FYP, GW

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