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Near-term US coal gas substitution

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Report summary

We forecast annual average natural gas prices will remain below US$3.00/mmbtu in 2015 and 2016. This price level will act as a price ceiling for thermal coal demand from electric generating units (EGU) and coal prices. However recent history has proven natural gas prices are quite volatile. Wood Mackenzie offers projections for coal demand in the short term at various natural gas price levels.

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    Near-term US coal gas substitution

    PDF 297.53 KB

  • Document

    WM near-term coal gas sub Aug2015.xls

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    Near-term US coal gas substitution

    ZIP 358.71 KB

Table of contents

Tables and charts

This report includes 8 images and tables including:

Images

  • Natural gas prices versus weighted average EGU coal costs
  • 2015 Coal contracts under pressure
  • Total utility coal demand in 2015 by Henry Hub natural gas price
  • Total utility coal demand in 2016 by Henry Hub natural gas price
  • 2016 Northern Appalachia thermal EGU coal demand by Henry Hub natural gas price
  • 2016 Illinois Basin thermal EGU coal demand by Henry Hub natural gas price
  • 2016 Powder River Basin thermal EGU coal demand by Henry Hub natural gas price
  • Coal price change in 2016 by change in Henry Hub natural gas price

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