Commodity market report
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9 Pages

North America coal short-term outlook April 2016

North America coal short-term outlook April 2016

Report summary

As far as the coal market goes the biggest driver, in the near term will be natural gas prices. We have substantially increased our forecast of 2017 natural gas prices. Natural gas prices are forecast to increase from an annual average price of US$2.30/mmBtu in 2016 to US$3.80/mmBtu in 2017.

What's included?

This report includes 2 file(s)

  • North America coal short-term outlook April 2016 PDF - 388.89 KB 9 Pages, 1 Tables, 9 Figures
  • WM Coal Monthly North America April.xls XLS - 4.05 MB


Global coal markets are facing extraordinary challenges and uncertainties. Factors such as global overcapacity, weakening demand and falling prices have created cautious investors. These factors have caused delays and cancellations of many mine and infrastructure projects, as well as lower growth rates at others.

This Coal Market Short Term Outlook report gives global and regional coal producers, consumers, transporters and investors detailed supply, demand and price forecasts for the coal industry, covering all the key domestic markets in North America, China and India.

Use this report to gain a better understanding of market dynamics, including revenue and demand potential for different coals. It will also help you identify trade patterns and changes affecting the coal markets.

Wood Mackenzie is the only coal industry service provider that offers a market outlook integrated with other sector analyses, including macroeconomics, coal supply, steel markets and gas and power markets. Our coal analysts are based in the markets they analyse. They work with objective, proprietary data to help you maximise your current and future investments.

From market dynamics to trade patterns, we give you confidence in your strategic planning.

  • Executive summary
    • Key market data
  • Prices
  • Demand
    • Coal demand sensitivity to the price of natural gas
    • International Trade
  • Supply
  • Infrastructure
  • Supply-demand balances

In this report there are 10 tables or charts, including:

  • Executive summary
    • Total US Supply Demand Balance (Mst)
  • Prices
    • Coal prices - history and forecast (FOB mine)
  • Demand
    • Natural gas drilling rigs and domestic dry production
    • Coal deliveries to EGUs by contract type and length (Mst)
  • Supply
    • US coal margin curve
    • PRB employment
  • Infrastructure
    • Coal train speed
    • Coal train speed
    • US Class 1 coal loadings
  • Supply-demand balances
    • EGU Stockpiles by Census Region (Mst)
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