Commodity Market Report

North America coal short-term outlook February 2018: Added retirements in NAPP

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Report summary

Strong seaborne coal markets and volatile natural gas prices had a powerful effect on US coal markets. Spot prices were driven higher in response to high ARA and Newcastle prices, even as domestic supply/demand dynamics suggest weak conditions. Annual Henry Hub natural gas prices are expected to fall 8% between 2017 and 2018 and in response to that competitive threat, coal generation will fall 3%.

What's included

This report contains

  • Document

    WM Coal Monthly North America February 2018.xls

    XLS 4.83 MB

  • Document

    North America coal short-term outlook February 2018: Added retirements in NAPP

    PDF 649.31 KB

  • Document

    North America coal short-term outlook February 2018: Added retirements in NAPP

    ZIP 3.39 MB

Table of contents

  • Executive summary
    • Bears versus Bulls
    • Coal Contracting
  • Supply
  • Infrastructure
  • Supply-demand balances

Tables and charts

This report includes 10 images and tables including:

Tables

  • Key market data

Images

  • WoodMac Degree Day Index
  • Coal deliveries to EGUs by contract type and length (Mst)
  • Evolution of Henry Hub natural gas prices (US$/mmbtu)
  • Utility stockpiles by census region (Mst)
  • Coal prices: history and forecast
  • Demand: Image 3
  • NAPP netback prices into ARA
  • PRB netback prices into South Korea
  • Thermal and metallurgical coal exports

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