Commodity market report
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13 Pages

North America coal short-term outlook July 2016

North America coal short-term outlook July 2016

Report summary

Coal markets firmed up in July as the summer heat brought higher electric demand. We forecast an increase in coal consumption over the remainder of the year. However, any increase in prices will be limited by high stockpile levels and excess mining capacity.

What's included?

This report includes 2 file(s)

  • North America coal short-term outlook July 2016 PDF - 506.35 KB 13 Pages, 1 Tables, 14 Figures
  • WM Coal Monthly North America July.xls XLS - 4.27 MB


Global coal markets are facing extraordinary challenges and uncertainties. Factors such as global overcapacity, weakening demand and falling prices have created cautious investors. These factors have caused delays and cancellations of many mine and infrastructure projects, as well as lower growth rates at others.

This Coal Market Short Term Outlook report gives global and regional coal producers, consumers, transporters and investors detailed supply, demand and price forecasts for the coal industry, covering all the key domestic markets in North America, China and India.

Use this report to gain a better understanding of market dynamics, including revenue and demand potential for different coals. It will also help you identify trade patterns and changes affecting the coal markets.

Wood Mackenzie is the only coal industry service provider that offers a market outlook integrated with other sector analyses, including macroeconomics, coal supply, steel markets and gas and power markets. Our coal analysts are based in the markets they analyse. They work with objective, proprietary data to help you maximise your current and future investments.

From market dynamics to trade patterns, we give you confidence in your strategic planning.

  • Executive summary
    • Key market data
  • Prices
  • Demand
    • Natural gas markets
    • International prices spike
  • Supply
    • Publicly traded coal producers continue to struggle
  • Infrastructure
  • Supply-demand balances

In this report there are 15 tables or charts, including:

  • Executive summary
    • Total US supply-demand balance (Mst)
  • Prices
    • Coal prices: history and forecast
  • Demand
    • PJM marginal fuel
    • Coal-fired generation
    • Delivered coal and natural gas prices to South Atlantic census region
    • Northern Appalachia netback prices into ARA
    • Illinois Basin netback prices into ARA
  • Supply
    • Powder River Basin quarterly production
    • US apparent capacity vs EIA annualized weekly shipments
    • Illinois Basin supply curve: Foresight Energy mines 2016
  • Infrastructure
    • Total US class I railcar loads
    • Coal train speed
    • Coal train dwell time
  • Supply-demand balances
    • EGU Stockpiles by census region (Mst)
    • US natural gas storage inventories (bcf)
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