Commodity market report
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12 Pages

North America coal short-term outlook July 2017: expectations moderate


North America coal short-term outlook July 2017: expectations moderate

Report summary

Warmer than normal weather appeared with a bang by late July, driving domestic prompt month prices upward slightly by the end of the month. Coal-fired generation in May 2017 was 11 TWh above May of the previous year. We forecast coal-generation for the last seven months of 2017 to be 1.5% below the same period last year, as higher natural gas prices are off-set by normal weather.

What's included?

This report includes 2 file(s)

  • North America coal short-term outlook July 2017: expectations moderate PDF - 408.54 KB 12 Pages, 1 Tables, 13 Figures
  • WM Coal Monthly North America July 2017.xls XLS - 4.70 MB

Description

Global coal markets are facing extraordinary challenges and uncertainties. Factors such as global overcapacity, weakening demand and falling prices have created cautious investors. These factors have caused delays and cancellations of many mine and infrastructure projects, as well as lower growth rates at others.

This Coal Market Short Term Outlook report gives global and regional coal producers, consumers, transporters and investors detailed supply, demand and price forecasts for the coal industry, covering all the key domestic markets in North America, China and India.

Use this report to gain a better understanding of market dynamics, including revenue and demand potential for different coals. It will also help you identify trade patterns and changes affecting the coal markets.

Wood Mackenzie is the only coal industry service provider that offers a market outlook integrated with other sector analyses, including macroeconomics, coal supply, steel markets and gas and power markets. Our coal analysts are based in the markets they analyse. They work with objective, proprietary data to help you maximise your current and future investments.

From market dynamics to trade patterns, we give you confidence in your strategic planning.

  • Executive summary
  • Prices
    • Natural gas markets
  • Demand
    • Contracted demand for coal
    • Thermal export markets
    • Metallurgical coal markets
  • Supply
    • Production
  • Infrastructure
  • Supply-demand balances

In this report there are 14 tables or charts, including:

  • Executive summary
    • Key market data
  • Prices
    • Henry Hub price outlook
    • Coal prices: history and forecast
  • Demand
    • Coal deliveries (Mst)
    • Coal deliveries (%)
    • North America Cooling degree days
    • NAPP netback prices into ARA
    • PRB netback prices into ARA
    • Thermal and Metallurgical Coal exports
  • Supply
    • Powder River Basin production – history and forecast (Mst)
  • Infrastructure
    • Domestic coal loadings (000)
    • Coal train speed
    • Coal train dwell time
  • Supply-demand balances
    • Utility stockpiles by census region (Mst)
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