Commodity market report
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8 Pages

North America coal short-term outlook March 2016

North America coal short-term outlook March 2016

Report summary

Spring 2016 will be grim for coal producers and coal-fired generation. Low electricity demand due to mild weather and a glut of natural gas will contribute to driving spring coal generation to levels 23% below 2015 and 33% below the five year average. Meanwhile coal inventories are at high levels and natural gas prices have been well below US$2.00/mmbtu at Henry Hub. With coal demand so low the spot markets can be expected to be quiet for some time. 

What's included?

This report includes 2 file(s)

  • North America coal short-term outlook March 2016 PDF - 440.81 KB 8 Pages, 1 Tables, 9 Figures
  • WM Coal Monthly North America March.xls XLS - 4.05 MB


Global coal markets are facing extraordinary challenges and uncertainties. Factors such as global overcapacity, weakening demand and falling prices have created cautious investors. These factors have caused delays and cancellations of many mine and infrastructure projects, as well as lower growth rates at others.

This Coal Market Short Term Outlook report gives global and regional coal producers, consumers, transporters and investors detailed supply, demand and price forecasts for the coal industry, covering all the key domestic markets in North America, China and India.

Use this report to gain a better understanding of market dynamics, including revenue and demand potential for different coals. It will also help you identify trade patterns and changes affecting the coal markets.

Wood Mackenzie is the only coal industry service provider that offers a market outlook integrated with other sector analyses, including macroeconomics, coal supply, steel markets and gas and power markets. Our coal analysts are based in the markets they analyse. They work with objective, proprietary data to help you maximise your current and future investments.

From market dynamics to trade patterns, we give you confidence in your strategic planning.

  • Executive summary
  • Prices
  • Demand
  • Supply
  • Supply-demand balances

In this report there are 10 tables or charts, including:

  • Executive summary
    • Total US Supply Demand Balance (Mst)
  • Prices
    • Coal Prices - history and forecast (FOB mine)
  • Demand
    • Henry Hub prompt natural gas price history and forecast
    • US fossil capacity factors
    • Mid Atlantic fossil capacity factors
    • South Atlantic fossil capacity factors
    • East North Central fossil capacity factors
    • West North Central fossil capacity factors
  • Supply
    • PRB Productivity
  • Supply-demand balances
    • EGU Stockpiles by Census Region (Mst)
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