Commodity Market Report

North America coal short-term outlook March 2018: How Permania impacts PRB demand

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Report summary

Although we see natural gas prices returning to above US$3.00/mmbtu by this summer, the real driver for spot coal prices will be the international markets. Wood Mackenzie projects the international market will turn bearish in the second quarter as weak demand is met with more than ample supply.

What's included

This report contains

  • Document

    WM Coal Monthly North America March 2018.xls

    XLS 4.80 MB

  • Document

    North America coal short-term outlook March 2018: How Permania impacts PRB demand

    PDF 729.43 KB

  • Document

    North America coal short-term outlook March 2018: How Permania impacts PRB demand

    ZIP 3.46 MB

Table of contents

  • Executive summary
    • Bears versus Bulls
    • Coal Contracting
    • January coal deliveries since 2008
  • Supply
  • Infrastructure
  • Supply-demand balances

Tables and charts

This report includes 13 images and tables including:

Tables

  • Total US Supply Demand Balance (Mst)

Images

  • US and international spot prices indexed to January 2012(January 2012 = 100%)
  • CAPP netback prices into ARA
  • ILB netback prices into ARA
  • WoodMac Degree Day Index
  • Utility stockpiles by census region (Mst)
  • Coal prices: history and forecast
  • Central Appalachia
  • Northern Appalachia
  • Illinois Basin
  • Powder River Basin
  • Coal deliveries to EGUs by contract type and length (Mst)
  • Thermal and metallurgical coal exports

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