Commodity market report
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9 Pages

Northern Appalachia coal markets long-term outlook H2 2013

Northern Appalachia coal markets long-term outlook H2 2013

Report summary

Coal demand and production in the Northern Appalachian (NAPP) coal basin suffered only minor setbacks during the 2009 recession and 2012 natural gas price crash.  The combination of low mining costs, long term contracts and proximity to markets kept NAPP demand relatively robust as other mining regions lost tens, evens hundreds of millions of tons of demand.  We project NAPP production to grow significantly in the next year as development plans – some put into motion before the 2009 recession – finally come to fruition at CONSOL's BMX mine, Alliance's Tunnel Ridge Mine Arch's Leer mine and Ohio American's (Murray Energy) Century mine.  Production is projected to peak at 145 Mst in 2014 and 2015.

What's included?

This report includes 3 file(s)

  • Northern Appalachia coal markets long-term outlook H2 2013 PDF - 352.33 KB 9 Pages, 0 Tables, 9 Figures
  • 1 US Coal LTO NAPP Analysis Nov 2013.xls XLS - 301.00 KB
  • Northern Appalachia coal markets long-term outlook H2 2013 PDF - 592.30 KB


Global coal markets are facing extraordinary challenges and uncertainties. Factors such as global overcapacity, weakening demand and falling prices have created cautious investors. These factors have caused delays and cancellations of many mine and infrastructure projects, as well as lower growth rates at others.

This Thermal Coal Market Long Term Outlook report gives global and regional coal producers, consumers, transporters and investors detailed supply, demand and price forecasts for the coal industry, covering all the key domestic markets in North America, China and India.

Use this report to gain a better understanding of market dynamics, including revenue and demand potential for different coals. It will also help you identify trade patterns and changes affecting the thermal coal markets.

Wood Mackenzie is the only coal industry service provider that offers a market outlook integrated with other sector analyses, including macroeconomics, coal supply, steel markets and gas and power markets. Our coal analysts are based in the markets they analyse. They work with objective, proprietary data to help you maximise your current and future investments.

From market dynamics to trade patterns, we give you confidence in your strategic planning.

  • Executive summary
    • Key data
  • Supply
  • Demand
    • Thermal demand struggles in weak price environment
    • Metallurgical demand a potential bright spot
  • Infrastructure
  • Prices
  • Risks and uncertainties

In this report there are 9 tables or charts, including:

  • Executive summary
    • Northern Appalachia key data
  • Supply
    • NAPP thermal supply by source
    • Supply: Image 2
    • Evolution of cost curve in NAPP thermal coal
  • Demand
    • Regional demand for NAPP coal at electric generating units
    • Demand: Image 2
    • Demand: Image 3
    • NAPP demand at retiring plants (Mst)
  • Infrastructure
  • Prices
    • NAPP price forecast
  • Risks and uncertainties
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