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13 Pages

Powder River Basin coal markets long-term outlook H1 2014

Powder River Basin coal markets long-term outlook H1 2014

Report summary

 The Powder River Basin (PRB) will supply 46% of all coal mined in the United States between 2014 and 2035.  The supply and demand dynamics of the PRB will continue to be the largest driver in the domestic coal markets.  Between 2014 and 2035, we forecast production from the PRB will expand 18% or 0.8% per year (CAGR).  By 2035, PRB will expand significantly into the thermal export market, at the expense of moderate domestic market share losses.

What's included?

This report includes 2 file(s)

  • Powder River Basin coal markets long-term outlook H1 2014 PDF - 856.14 KB 13 Pages, 0 Tables, 13 Figures
  • 1 US Coal LTO PRB Analysis 7 10 2014.xls XLS - 267.50 KB


Global coal markets are facing extraordinary challenges and uncertainties. Factors such as global overcapacity, weakening demand and falling prices have created cautious investors. These factors have caused delays and cancellations of many mine and infrastructure projects, as well as lower growth rates at others.

This Thermal Coal Market Long Term Outlook report gives global and regional coal producers, consumers, transporters and investors detailed supply, demand and price forecasts for the coal industry, covering all the key domestic markets in North America, China and India.

Use this report to gain a better understanding of market dynamics, including revenue and demand potential for different coals. It will also help you identify trade patterns and changes affecting the thermal coal markets.

Wood Mackenzie is the only coal industry service provider that offers a market outlook integrated with other sector analyses, including macroeconomics, coal supply, steel markets and gas and power markets. Our coal analysts are based in the markets they analyse. They work with objective, proprietary data to help you maximise your current and future investments.

From market dynamics to trade patterns, we give you confidence in your strategic planning.

  • Executive summary
    • Key issues
    • Key data
      • Powder River Basin key data
  • Prices
    • PRB price forecast
  • Demand
    • PRB market share in each census region and total thermal coal exports
    • Regional demand for PRB coal
    • PRB demand by sector
  • Supply
    • PRB thermal coal mining reserves
    • Evolution of cost curve in PRB thermal coal
  • Infrastructure
    • Powder River Basin – Mines and Infrastructure
    • West Coast available port capacity by year
  • Risks and uncertainties
    • Oil and natural gas wells versus PRB coal mines

In this report there are 13 tables or charts, including:

  • Executive summary
    • Executive summary: Image 1
  • Prices
    • Prices: Image 1
    • Delivered fuel prices into the South Atlantic census region
  • Demand
    • Retiring capacity of plants that burn PRB coal (MW)
    • PRB demand at retiring plants (Mst)
    • Demand: Image 3
    • Demand: Image 4
    • Demand: Image 5
  • Supply
    • Supply: Image 1
    • Supply: Image 2
  • Infrastructure
    • Infrastructure: Image 1
    • Infrastructure: Image 2
  • Risks and uncertainties
    • Risks and uncertainties: Image 1
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