Commodity market report

Powder River Basin coal markets long-term outlook H1 2014

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Report summary

The Powder River Basin (PRB) will supply 46% of all coal mined in the United States between 2014 and 2035. The supply and demand dynamics of the PRB will continue to be the largest driver in the domestic coal markets. Between 2014 and 2035, we forecast production from the PRB will expand 18% or 0.8% per year (CAGR). By 2035, PRB will expand significantly into the thermal export market, at the expense of moderate domestic market share losses.

What's included

This report contains

  • Document

    1 US Coal LTO PRB Analysis 7 10 2014.xls

    XLS 267.50 KB

  • Document

    Powder River Basin coal markets long-term outlook H1 2014

    PDF 856.14 KB

  • Document

    Powder River Basin coal markets long-term outlook H1 2014

    ZIP 933.76 KB

  • Document

    Executive summary

    PDF 84.34 KB

  • Document


    PDF 100.78 KB

  • Document


    PDF 134.23 KB

  • Document


    PDF 101.38 KB

  • Document


    PDF 188.96 KB

  • Document

    Risks and uncertainties

    PDF 390.65 KB

Table of contents

    • PRB price forecast
    • PRB market share in each census region and total thermal coal exports
    • Regional demand for PRB coal
    • PRB demand by sector
    • PRB thermal coal mining reserves
    • Evolution of cost curve in PRB thermal coal
    • Powder River Basin – Mines and Infrastructure
    • West Coast available port capacity by year
    • Oil and natural gas wells versus PRB coal mines

Tables and charts

This report includes 13 images and tables including:


  • Retiring capacity of plants that burn PRB coal (MW)
  • PRB demand at retiring plants (Mst)
  • Prices: Image 1
  • Delivered fuel prices into the South Atlantic census region
  • Demand: Image 3
  • Demand: Image 4
  • Demand: Image 5
  • Supply: Image 1
  • Supply: Image 2
  • Infrastructure: Image 1
  • Infrastructure: Image 2
  • Risks and uncertainties: Image 1
  • Executive summary: Image 1

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