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Queensland exports to increase despite rail issues

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Report summary

On January 30 the operator of Queensland's coal rail network, Aurizon, warned coal producers of a 20 million tonne reduction in rail capacity as a result of a draft ruling from the Queensland Competition Authority (QCA). Aurizon told its customers that as a result of the draft decision it would adopt a less flexible maintenance regime, reducing availability and consequently system capacity. With Queensland supplying over half of the seaborne export metallurgical coal market we look at the potential impact of this decision. While we expect exports would still increase under this scenario, they would fall just short of our expectations for demand in 2018.    

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    Queensland exports to increase despite rail issues

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