Name: Thermal coal in a carbon-conscious world: the IEA 450 Scenario
Brand: Wood Mackenzie
SKU: 47926
Price: 4750 USD
Availability: OnlineOnly
Author: Wood Mackenzie

Insight 03 August 2016

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            <h3 class="mega store_featured_content_extrabold store_font_black">Report summary</h3>
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The call for a low-carbon economy has grown louder since the COP21 accord in Paris in December 2015. The world is becoming increasingly conscious of the potential harm caused by carbon emissions but has yet to agree on a clear path towards reducing those emissions. In this insight, we examine the impact of the adoption of the IEA's New Policies Scenario (NPS) and its 450 Scenario on our latest forecast of global thermal coal supply, demand and prices.</div>
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                    <h3 class="alpha push-half--bottom">Table of contents</h3>

<li class="list__item-toggle font-semibold">
        Executive summary
    </li>

<li class="list__item-toggle">
        <a href="#6f3b9cf0-ac22-4917-8369-d568401d015b" class="js-toggle-local list__link-toggle dark-link font-semibold" role="button" aria-controls="6f3b9cf0-ac22-4917-8369-d568401d015b" aria-expanded="false">
            Scenario definition
        </a>
        <ul id="6f3b9cf0-ac22-4917-8369-d568401d015b" class="panel-toggle push-half--left push-half--bottom">
                <li class="push-quarter--bottom">
        IEA New Policies Scenario (NPS)
    </li>
    <li class="push-quarter--bottom">
        IEA 450 Scenario
    </li>
    <li class="push-quarter--bottom">
        Wood Mackenzie base case
    </li>

</ul>
    </li>

<li class="list__item-toggle">
        <a href="#91ee0e7c-57f6-4fd9-83ef-e6282404f170" class="js-toggle-local list__link-toggle dark-link font-semibold" role="button" aria-controls="91ee0e7c-57f6-4fd9-83ef-e6282404f170" aria-expanded="false">
            What assumptions differentiate the IEA scenarios from our base case?
        </a>
        <ul id="91ee0e7c-57f6-4fd9-83ef-e6282404f170" class="panel-toggle push-half--left push-half--bottom">
                <li class="push-quarter--bottom">
        Macroeconomic growth
    </li>

</ul>
    </li>

<li class="list__item-toggle">
        <a href="#25bc2100-8a74-4569-adf9-d1ed69717347" class="js-toggle-local list__link-toggle dark-link font-semibold" role="button" aria-controls="25bc2100-8a74-4569-adf9-d1ed69717347" aria-expanded="false">
            Demand: the IEA 450 Scenario sees thermal trade fall to 527 Mt in 2035
        </a>
        <ul id="25bc2100-8a74-4569-adf9-d1ed69717347" class="panel-toggle push-half--left push-half--bottom">
                <li class="push-quarter--bottom">
        Summary
    </li>
    <li class="push-quarter--bottom">
        Regional explanation
    </li>
    <li class="push-quarter--bottom">
        Implications for the seaborne trade: coal quality is all important
    </li>

</ul>
    </li>

<li class="list__item-toggle">
        <a href="#3cde2765-c7d9-4b3a-9eb1-ebc15448c21a" class="js-toggle-local list__link-toggle dark-link font-semibold" role="button" aria-controls="3cde2765-c7d9-4b3a-9eb1-ebc15448c21a" aria-expanded="false">
            Supply: the IEA 450 Scenario sees Indonesian exports fall below 200 Mtpa by 2035
        </a>
        <ul id="3cde2765-c7d9-4b3a-9eb1-ebc15448c21a" class="panel-toggle push-half--left push-half--bottom">
                <li class="push-quarter--bottom">
        Summary
    </li>
    <li class="push-quarter--bottom">
        Regional explanation
    </li>

</ul>
    </li>

<li class="list__item-toggle font-semibold">
        Prices: US$50/t FOB Newcastle could be the new norm
    </li>

<li class="list__item-toggle font-semibold">
        Conclusion
    </li>

</ul>

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<h3 class="alpha push-half--bottom">Tables and charts</h3>

<p class="push-half--bottom">This report includes the following images and tables:</p>

<ul class="list list--bullets">
         <li class="list__item push-quarter--bottom">Key assumptions and drivers in scenarios</li><li class="list__item push-quarter--bottom">FOB Newcastle price comparison, US$/t (real 2016)</li><li class="list__item push-quarter--bottom">Global CO2 emissions (Mt)</li>
     </ul>
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        <button data-target="#5e19cea46d7e4c8d99f8ab320055fbde"
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            View more tables and charts in this report
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        <ul class="list list--bullets panel-toggle" id="5e19cea46d7e4c8d99f8ab320055fbde">
            <li class="list__item push-quarter--bottom">Thermal coal demand summary in each scenario (Mt)</li><li class="list__item push-quarter--bottom">Global thermal coal demand comparison (Mt)</li><li class="list__item push-quarter--bottom">Seaborne thermal coal demand comparison (Mt)</li><li class="list__item push-quarter--bottom">Thermal coal supply summary in each scenario (Mt)</li><li class="list__item push-quarter--bottom">Australia export supply comparison (Mt)</li><li class="list__item push-quarter--bottom">Indonesia export supply comparison (Mt)</li>
        </ul>
        
    </div>

</div>

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<h3 class="alpha push-half--bottom ">What's included</h3>
<p class="push-half--bottom ">This report contains:</p>
<ul class="list"><li class="list__item-icon push-half--bottom"><svg class="list__image-icon" width="13.9" height="17.2" viewBox="0 0 13.9 17.2"><title>Document</title><g fill="#232323"><path d="M13.8 3.5L10.3.2c-.1-.2-.2-.2-.3-.2H1.5C.7 0 0 .7 0 1.5v14.2c0 .8.7 1.5 1.5 1.5h10.9c.8 0 1.5-.7 1.5-1.6V3.8c0-.1 0-.2-.1-.3zm-3.4-1.8l1.7 1.6h-1.7V1.7zm2 14.4H1.5c-.2 0-.5-.2-.5-.5V1.5c0-.2.3-.5.5-.5h7.8v2.9c0 .2.2.5.5.5h3.1v11.3c0 .2-.2.4-.5.4z"></path><path d="M11.1 6.3H3.7c-.2 0-.5.2-.5.5s.2.5.5.5H11c.3 0 .6-.2.6-.5s-.3-.5-.5-.5zM11.1 12.6H3.7c-.2 0-.5.2-.5.5 0 .2.2.5.5.5H11c.3 0 .6-.2.6-.5-.1-.3-.3-.5-.5-.5zM3.7 10.4H11c.3 0 .6-.2.5-.5 0-.2-.2-.5-.5-.5H3.6c-.2 0-.5.2-.5.5 0 .2.2.5.6.5z"></path></g></svg>
<p class="font-regular" >Thermal coal in a carbon-conscious world.xls</p>
<p class="uppercase delta">
    <span>XLS</span>
    <span>339.50 KB</span>
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</li><li class="list__item-icon push-half--bottom"><svg class="list__image-icon" width="13.9" height="17.2" viewBox="0 0 13.9 17.2"><title>Document</title><g fill="#232323"><path d="M13.8 3.5L10.3.2c-.1-.2-.2-.2-.3-.2H1.5C.7 0 0 .7 0 1.5v14.2c0 .8.7 1.5 1.5 1.5h10.9c.8 0 1.5-.7 1.5-1.6V3.8c0-.1 0-.2-.1-.3zm-3.4-1.8l1.7 1.6h-1.7V1.7zm2 14.4H1.5c-.2 0-.5-.2-.5-.5V1.5c0-.2.3-.5.5-.5h7.8v2.9c0 .2.2.5.5.5h3.1v11.3c0 .2-.2.4-.5.4z"></path><path d="M11.1 6.3H3.7c-.2 0-.5.2-.5.5s.2.5.5.5H11c.3 0 .6-.2.6-.5s-.3-.5-.5-.5zM11.1 12.6H3.7c-.2 0-.5.2-.5.5 0 .2.2.5.5.5H11c.3 0 .6-.2.6-.5-.1-.3-.3-.5-.5-.5zM3.7 10.4H11c.3 0 .6-.2.5-.5 0-.2-.2-.5-.5-.5H3.6c-.2 0-.5.2-.5.5 0 .2.2.5.6.5z"></path></g></svg>
<p class="font-regular" >Thermal coal in a carbon-conscious world: the IEA 450 Scenario</p>
<p class="uppercase delta">
    <span>PDF</span>
    <span>340.74 KB</span>
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