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Europe energy markets and price long-term outlook H2 2016

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Report summary

Wood Mackenzie forecast EU 28 energy demand to decline at an average rate of 0.6% a year between 2016 and 2035. This is broadly in line with the energy related targets of the Nationally Determined Contributions (NDCs) and the IEA's New Policies scenario (recently published in the world energy outlook 2016).This report provides an update on European energy demand and EU energy policy. It includes our latest long term regional view of oil gas coal and carbon prices alongside gas and base load power prices for a number of key European markets.

What's included

This report contains

  • Document

    Europe energy markets and prices long-term outlook H2 2016.xls

    XLS 1.21 MB

  • Document

    Europe gas demand H2 2016.xls

    XLS 1.35 MB

  • Document

    Europe energy markets and price long-term outlook H2 2016

    PDF 605.34 KB

  • Document

    Europe energy markets and price long-term outlook H2 2016

    ZIP 1.08 MB

  • Document

    Executive summary

    PDF 84.60 KB

  • Document

    Executive summary

    PDF 82.01 KB

  • Document

    Economic outlook

    PDF 66.33 KB

  • Document

    Economic outlook

    PDF 73.09 KB

  • Document

    Policy and regulation

    PDF 262.89 KB

  • Document

    Policy and regulation

    PDF 292.94 KB

  • Document

    Demand

    PDF 151.25 KB

  • Document

    Demand

    PDF 112.93 KB

  • Document

    Prices

    PDF 175.55 KB

  • Document

    Prices

    PDF 208.88 KB

Table of contents

  • Executive summary
  • Economic outlook
  • Policy and regulation
  • Demand
  • Prices

Tables and charts

This report includes 29 images and tables including:

Images

  • Energy Union Package
  • All Fuels Total Primary Energy Demand (TPED)
  • Energy-Related CO2 Emissions
  • Coal - Total Primary Energy Demand
  • Oil - Total Primary Energy Demand
  • Gas - Total Primary Energy Demand
  • Non Fossil Fuels - Total Primary Energy Demand
  • Economic outlook: Image 1
  • Policy and regulation: Image 2
  • European (EU) renewable electricity targets and growth
  • Historical carbon (EUA) prices
  • ETS allowance supply - post-market reserve
  • Market reserve inflow, outflow and balance
  • Oil price forecast
  • Gas price forecast
  • NBP - TTF differentials
  • PEGN - TTF differentials
  • Gaspool - TTF differentials
  • PSV - TTF differentials
  • Spain LNG and Japan LNG - NBP differentials
  • Prices: Image 8
  • European power prices – annual base load
  • Clean spark spreads
  • Clean dark spreads (low efficiency)
  • Prices: Image 12
  • Prices: Image 13

Tables

  • EU Energy Security Package
  • EU Third Energy Package
  • EU climate-energy targets

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