Commodity Market Report

Europe energy prices long-term outlook H1 2017

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Report summary

A slower recovery in oil prices is forecast as the gas oversupply intensifies, pressurising coal prices and exposing the European coal fleet to cost-driven closures in the medium-term. This report provides H1 2017 European energy prices to 2035, including analysis of European gas price differentials. The related downloads provide data on energy prices and our country gas demand by sector to 2035.

What's included

This report contains

  • Document

    Europe gas demand H1 2017.xls

    XLS 1.35 MB

  • Document

    Europe energy prices H1 2017.xls

    XLS 3.81 MB

  • Document

    Europe energy prices long-term outlook H1 2017

    PDF 3.81 MB

  • Document

    Europe energy prices long-term outlook H1 2017

    ZIP 4.51 MB

  • Document

    Executive summary

    PDF 84.60 KB

  • Document

    Executive summary

    PDF 82.01 KB

  • Document

    Executive summary

    PDF 58.65 KB

  • Document

    Prices

    PDF 175.55 KB

  • Document

    Prices

    PDF 208.88 KB

  • Document

    Prices

    PDF 3.62 MB

  • Document

    Economic outlook

    PDF 66.33 KB

  • Document

    Economic outlook

    PDF 73.09 KB

  • Document

    Economic outlook

    PDF 83.88 KB

Table of contents

  • Executive summary
      • Demand growth can't contain oversupply
      • as key suppliers chase market share
      • The cash cost of US LNG will set European spot prices in the medium-term
      • Whilst competition builds across pre-FID LNG projects
    • Coal prices
      • Difficult markets for conventional generators
      • Easing constraints give way to lower prices in coming years
      • Rising input costs support higher prices in the 2020s
    • Q1 2017 GDP growth (2010-2035)

Tables and charts

This report includes 16 images and tables including:

Images

  • Oil price forecast
  • Gas price forecast - Europe
  • Prices: Image 10
  • Economic outlook: Image 1
  • Europe Gas Price Hubs
  • NBP - TTF differentials
  • PEG Nord - TTF differentials
  • GASPOOL - TTF differentials
  • PSV - TTF differentials
  • Spain LNG and Japan LNG - NBP differentials
  • European power prices – annual base load
  • Clean spark spreads
  • Clean dark spreads (low efficiency)
  • Carbon (EUA) price forecast
  • Carbon (EUA) price and fuel switching cost in power

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