Commodity market report
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20 Pages

France energy markets outlook 2014 - overview


France energy markets outlook 2014 - overview

Report summary

France emerged from recession in Q2 2013 posting 0.5% growth. However, the rebound is unlikely to be sustained as leading indicators point to further contraction ahead. Falling investment and austerity continue to drag on the economy. Fiscal consolidation remains a priority for President Francois Hollande.

What's included?

This report includes 2 file(s)

  • France energy markets outlook 2014 - overview PDF - 1.42 MB 20 Pages, 8 Tables, 18 Figures
  • France.xls XLS - 860.54 KB

Description

Due to their sensitivity to political events and the global economy, energy demand and trade remain extremely volatile. The rapidly changing cost environment for hydrocarbon production and renewable energy, combined with energy policy changes, means the fuel mix in energy markets can be unpredictable at best. Further complicating the outlook is the transition and pace of the energy-intensive developing world from industrial to services-based economic growth, supporting the growing need for power generation.

This Energy Markets Long Term Outlook report provides a multi-fuel supply and demand forecast supported by a breakdown of the key facts.

Companies involved in all sectors of the energy industry can use this long term outlook report to assess inter-fuel dynamics and market drivers for strategic planning and investment opportunities. Use it to understand supply and demand fundamentals across hydrocarbon and renewables.

Analysing 92 markets and providing comprehensive coverage of global energy supply and demand, Wood Mackenzie is ideally placed to offer extensive expertise and robust knowledge of the energy markets sector. We write detailed supply and demand forecasts across all fuels and sectors based on our objective, proprietary data.

Whether you want an independent outlook on the market or to screen for opportunities in new markets, we help you understand global energy dynamics so you can shape your corporate strategy with confidence.

  • Executive summary
  • Economic outlook
    • Economic indicators (2005-2035)
    • Industrial production
    • Key risks to the outlook
    • Upside
    • Downside
  • Demand
    • Economic drivers and energy demand
    • Total primary energy demand
    • Energy intensity
    • Industry and non-energy use
      • Key sub-sectors
      • Key fuels
      • Uncertainties
    • Transport
      • Factors affecting transport demand
      • Key fuels
      • Oil will remain the key fuel in the sector but demand will decline as biofuel use increases, electric car schemes are brought in by local governments and fuel efficiency improves. By 2030, oil will reduce its share of the fuel mix from 92.3% in 2013 to 85.1% in 2030.
    • Residential, commercial and agricultural (RCA)
      • Key sub-sectors
      • Key fuels
      • Electricity demand is driven predominately by the residential sector; 51.4% of total RCA electricity demand (2013). Electricity will continue to be the economic choice for new homes and commercial buildings on the basis of price competitiveness. As such, electricity consumption will increase steadily, seeing the largest absolute increase over the forecast period. Gas is the second most consumed fuel in the RCA. Demand for gas grew by 5.1% in 2013 as household heating and transport demand rose. Over the mid-term, gas demand will be relatively flat growing at less than 0.5% each year to 2030, on average.
      • Uncertainties
  • Policy and regulation
    • Energy policy
      • Policy
    • Environment and carbon policy
      • EU Emissions Trading Scheme
      • Gas sector regulation and organisation
      • Electricity sector regulation and organisation
      • Authorities
    • Subsidies and taxes

In this report there are 26 tables or charts, including:

  • Executive summary
    • Executive summary: Table 1
    • Executive summary: Image 1
  • Economic outlook
    • Economic outlook: Table 1
    • GDP by sector (% of GDP)
    • GDP by expenditure (billion €, 2005 prices)
    • GDP outlook (annual growth)
    • Industrial production outlook (annual growth)
    • Real GDP (annual growth)
    • Population by age cohort (million)
    • Industrial production (annual growth)
  • Demand
    • Total primary energy demand (2005-2035)
    • Demand by sector (2005-2035)
    • Demand by fuel (2005-2035)
    • Electricity intensity comparison (2000-2030)
    • End-use intensity comparison (2000-2030)
    • Demand: Table 2
    • Industrial energy mix (2005-2035)
    • Demand: Table 3
    • Transport fuel mix (2005-2035)
    • Demand: Table 4
    • RCA sub-sectors (2012)
    • Residential, commercial, and agricultural (RCA) fuel mix (2005-2035)
  • Policy and regulation
    • Policy and regulation: Table 1
    • Legislation
    • Policy and regulation: Image 1
    • Policy and regulation: Image 2
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