Commodity market report
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10 Pages

United States energy markets outlook 2015 - coal

United States energy markets outlook 2015 - coal

Report summary

Coal exports will become more important to the US coal market. By 2035 about 37% of US coal production (adjusted for energy content) will be exported. However, coal will increasingly be exported from the US Gulf Coast rather than the West coast as previously forecast. Competition with natural gas coupled with regulation are limiting the use of coal in the US. While legislation regulating mercury and acid gas emissions from power plants was dealt a blow earlier this year, its impact has already been felt on coal industry. This is because many coal fired power plants have already closed or invested to comply with the regulation. While this analysis does not include the impact of the Clean Power Plan (CPP) it does assume a generic  carbon prices of (real 2015) US$ 11.75 per metric tonne starting in 2020. The carbon price then escalates by about 6% per year.

What's included?

This report includes 2 file(s)

  • United States energy markets outlook 2015 - coal PDF - 853.58 KB 10 Pages, 4 Tables, 7 Figures
  • United States.xls XLS - 873.50 KB


Due to their sensitivity to political events and the global economy, energy demand and trade remain extremely volatile. The rapidly changing cost environment for hydrocarbon production and renewable energy, combined with energy policy changes, means the fuel mix in energy markets can be unpredictable at best. Further complicating the outlook is the transition and pace of the energy-intensive developing world from industrial to services-based economic growth, supporting the growing need for power generation.

This Energy Markets Long Term Outlook report provides a multi-fuel supply and demand forecast supported by a breakdown of the key facts.

Companies involved in all sectors of the energy industry can use this long term outlook report to assess inter-fuel dynamics and market drivers for strategic planning and investment opportunities. Use it to understand supply and demand fundamentals across hydrocarbon and renewables.

Analysing 92 markets and providing comprehensive coverage of global energy supply and demand, Wood Mackenzie is ideally placed to offer extensive expertise and robust knowledge of the energy markets sector. We write detailed supply and demand forecasts across all fuels and sectors based on our objective, proprietary data.

Whether you want an independent outlook on the market or to screen for opportunities in new markets, we help you understand global energy dynamics so you can shape your corporate strategy with confidence.

  • Executive summary
  • Demand
    • Power
    • Industry
      • Coal demand (2005-2035)
      • Power plant and energy adjusted coal prices chart (real 2015 US$/mmbtu)
  • Supply
    • Production
      • Powder River Basin (PRB)
      • Illinois Basin
      • Northern Appalachia (NAPP)
      • Central Appalachia (CAPP)
      • Western Bituminous (West Bit)
      • Southern Appalachia (SAPP)
  • Supply-demand balances
  • Trade

In this report there are 11 tables or charts, including:

  • Executive summary
  • Demand
    • Coal demand (2005-2035)
    • Coal demand (2013)
    • Demand: Image 2
    • Demand: Image 3
  • Supply
    • Map of major US coal basins by coal type
    • Marketable coal reserves by region 2015 (million short tons)
    • Coal production (2005-2035)
    • Coal production (2005-2035)
  • Supply-demand balances
    • Supply-demand balances (2005-2035)
  • Trade
    • Trade balance of coal (2005-2035)
    • Coal trade (2005-2035)
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