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United States energy markets outlook 2015 - coal

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28 September 2015

United States energy markets outlook 2015 - coal

Report summary

Coal exports will become more important to the US coal market. By 2035 about 37% of US coal production (adjusted for energy content) will be exported. However, coal will increasingly be exported from the US Gulf Coast rather than the West coast as previously forecast. Competition with natural gas coupled with regulation are limiting the use of coal in the US. While legislation regulating mercury and acid gas emissions from power plants was dealt a blow earlier this year, its impact has already been felt on coal industry. This is because many coal fired power plants have already closed or invested to comply with the regulation. While this analysis does not include the impact of the Clean Power Plan (CPP) it does assume a generic  carbon prices of (real 2015) US$ 11.75 per metric tonne starting in 2020. The carbon price then escalates by about 6% per year.

Table of contents

  • Executive summary
    • Power
    • Industry
      • Coal demand (2005-2035)
      • Power plant and energy adjusted coal prices chart (real 2015 US$/mmbtu)
    • Production
      • Powder River Basin (PRB)
      • Illinois Basin
      • Northern Appalachia (NAPP)
      • Central Appalachia (CAPP)
      • Western Bituminous (West Bit)
      • Southern Appalachia (SAPP)
  • Supply-demand balances
  • Trade

Tables and charts

This report includes 11 images and tables including:

  • Coal demand (2005-2035)
  • Map of major US coal basins by coal type
  • Supply-demand balances (2005-2035)
  • Trade balance of coal (2005-2035)
  • Coal trade (2005-2035)
  • Coal demand (2013)
  • Marketable coal reserves by region 2015 (million short tons)
  • Demand: Image 2
  • Demand: Image 3
  • Coal production (2005-2035)
  • Coal production (2005-2035)

What's included

This report contains:

  • Document

    United States.xls

    XLS 873.50 KB

  • Document

    United States energy markets outlook 2015 - coal

    PDF 853.58 KB

  • Document

    United States energy markets outlook 2015 - coal

    ZIP 1.11 MB

  • Document

    Executive summary

    PDF 134.39 KB

  • Document

    Executive summary

    PDF 51.86 KB

  • Document

    Executive summary

    PDF 55.22 KB

  • Document

    Demand

    PDF 273.63 KB

  • Document

    Demand

    PDF 138.28 KB

  • Document

    Demand

    PDF 147.99 KB

  • Document

    Supply

    PDF 333.31 KB

  • Document

    Supply

    PDF 100.89 KB

  • Document

    Supply

    PDF 623.12 KB

  • Document

    Supply-demand balances

    PDF 139.62 KB

  • Document

    Supply-demand balances

    PDF 57.81 KB

  • Document

    Supply-demand balances

    PDF 61.81 KB

  • Document

    Trade

    PDF 202.23 KB

  • Document

    Trade

    PDF 88.26 KB

  • Document

    Trade

    PDF 97.36 KB

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