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Asian LNG pricing and low oil prices

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Report summary

Asian LNG pricing is impacted by lower oil prices in different ways – they impact prevailing contract prices because most Asian LNG contracts are linked to oil; they impact the price of spot LNG through the interplay of contract prices and crude costs; and they could impact future oil indexed long term LNG contracts through impact on their economics.

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    Asian LNG pricing and low oil prices

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Table of contents

  • Executive Summary
    • Lower oil prices provide soft ceilings to LNG spot prices in Asia
    • Contract prices will remain high and buyers will maximise spot purchases of LNG
    • Expect some demand growth and some supply curtailment
    • Asian LNG spot prices should have bottomed out for now, but new lows could be tested next summer
    • Oil indexed long term contracts - context
    • Impact of low oil prices on oil indexed contracts
    • Impact of low oil prices on US LNG
    • Chart 3: LNG price* comparison
  • Conclusions

Tables and charts

This report includes 3 images and tables including:

Images

  • Asian LNG pricing and low oil prices: Image 1
  • Chart 2: Japan on-grid oil generation output
  • Asian LNG pricing and low oil prices: Image 3

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