Commodity market report
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18 Pages

Beijing/Tianjin gas markets long-term outlook H1 2016

Beijing/Tianjin gas markets long-term outlook H1 2016

Report summary

Both Beijing and Tianjin are highly supportive of gas demand growth, particularly to address the polluted image of China's capital. Our forecast for gas demand in 2035 has declined by 17% compared with our H2 2015 update, reflecting a major downgrade in the power sector. 

What's included?

This report includes 2 file(s)

  • Beijing/Tianjin gas markets long-term outlook H1 2016 PDF - 537.47 KB 18 Pages, 12 Tables, 11 Figures
  • BeijingTianjin Gas Data 2016H1.xls XLS - 678.98 KB


Volatility in oil markets and the growth of unconventional gas supply have created a high degree of uncertainty about future gas demand and the direction of gas prices.

This Gas Markets Long Term Outlook report forecasts future pricing, based on deep analysis of gas supply and demand fundamentals. Additionally, it addresses complex questions on gas flows, identifies future opportunities and informs fuel purchasing strategies.

Participants and investors can use this long term outlook report to understand gas markets and assess the impact of global gas dynamics and key market drivers.

Wood Mackenzie provides detailed supply, demand and price forecasts based on our integrated upstream, power, coal and LNG research. Our regional gas experts are based in the markets they analyse, providing comprehensive analyses of regional and global gas markets.

If you want to understand complex gas market dynamics and plan for the future, Wood Mackenzie is the premier resource to help you gain a clear, competitive advantage.

  • Executive summary
  • Economic outlook
  • Infrastructure
  • Policy and regulation
  • Demand
    • Gas demand overview
    • Power sector gas demand
      • Installed Power Capacity
      • Power output
        • Beijing/Tianjin power yearly output
      • Power demand
    • Non Power Demand
      • Industry and chemical
      • Residential and commercial (including winter heating)
      • Transportation
      • Gas demand in transport will rise to 2.2 bcm by 2035 in this region, supported by increased gas availability, the development of refuelling stations and reduced gas prices.
  • Supply-demand balances
    • Supply-demand balance
    • Domestic supply allocation
      • Contracted and technical reserves
      • Yet-to-find and unconventional gas supply
    • Imported gas supply allocation
      • Pipeline gas
      • LNG
  • Costs
    • Supply cost stack
      • Weighted average cost of supply
  • Prices
    • End-user pricing

In this report there are 23 tables or charts, including:

  • Executive summary
    • Beijing/Tianjin total gas demand summary
    • Beijing/Tianjin total gas supply-demand balance summary
  • Economic outlook
    • Economic outlook: Table 1
  • Infrastructure
    • Beijing/Tianjin gas and power infrastructure map
  • Policy and regulation
    • Policy and regulation: Table 1
  • Demand
    • Beijing/Tianjin total gas demand
    • Beijing/Tianjin installed capacity by fuel type
    • Demand: Image 3
    • Demand: Table 1
    • Beijing/Tianjin power demand forecast
    • Beijing gas demand by sector
    • Tianjin gas demand by sector
  • Supply-demand balances
    • Beijing/Tianjin gas supply-demand balance
    • Uncontracted domestic supply allocation
    • Yet-to-find domestic supply allocation
    • Beijing/Tianjin unconventional gas supply
    • Shale gas by basin
    • CBM by basin
    • Beijing/Tianjin import pipeline gas supply
    • LNG supply vs regas capacity
    • LNG terminals
  • Costs
    • Beijing/Tianjin weighted average cost of gas vs. competing fuels
  • Prices
    • Beijing/Tianjin end-user gas prices vs. competing fuels (Q1 2016)
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