Commodity Market Report

Beijing/Tianjin gas markets long-term outlook H1 2016

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25 July 2016

Beijing/Tianjin gas markets long-term outlook H1 2016

Report summary

Both Beijing and Tianjin are highly supportive of gas demand growth, particularly to address the polluted image of China's capital. Our forecast for gas demand in 2035 has declined by 17% compared with our H2 2015 update, reflecting a major downgrade in the power sector. 

Table of contents

  • Executive summary
  • Economic outlook
  • Infrastructure
  • Policy and regulation
    • Gas demand overview
    • Power sector gas demand
      • Installed Power Capacity
      • Power output
        • Beijing/Tianjin power yearly output
      • Power demand
    • Non Power Demand
      • Industry and chemical
      • Residential and commercial (including winter heating)
      • Transportation
      • Gas demand in transport will rise to 2.2 bcm by 2035 in this region, supported by increased gas availability, the development of refuelling stations and reduced gas prices.
    • Supply-demand balance
    • Domestic supply allocation
      • Contracted and technical reserves
      • Yet-to-find and unconventional gas supply
    • Imported gas supply allocation
      • Pipeline gas
      • LNG
    • Supply cost stack
      • Weighted average cost of supply
    • End-user pricing

Tables and charts

This report includes 23 images and tables including:

  • Beijing/Tianjin total gas demand summary
  • Beijing/Tianjin total gas supply-demand balance summary
  • Economic outlook: Table 1
  • Beijing/Tianjin gas and power infrastructure map
  • Policy and regulation: Table 1
  • Beijing/Tianjin total gas demand
  • Beijing gas demand by sector
  • Tianjin gas demand by sector
  • Beijing/Tianjin gas supply-demand balance
  • Uncontracted domestic supply allocation
  • Yet-to-find domestic supply allocation
  • Beijing/Tianjin end-user gas prices vs. competing fuels (Q1 2016)
  • Beijing/Tianjin installed capacity by fuel type
  • Beijing/Tianjin power demand forecast
  • Beijing/Tianjin unconventional gas supply
  • Shale gas by basin
  • CBM by basin
  • Beijing/Tianjin import pipeline gas supply
  • LNG supply vs regas capacity
  • LNG terminals
  • Beijing/Tianjin weighted average cost of gas vs. competing fuels
  • Demand: Image 3
  • Demand: Table 1

What's included

This report contains:

  • Document

    BeijingTianjin Gas Data 2016H1.xls

    XLS 678.98 KB

  • Document

    Beijing/Tianjin gas markets long-term outlook H1 2016

    PDF 537.47 KB

  • Document

    Beijing/Tianjin gas markets long-term outlook H1 2016

    ZIP 709.78 KB

  • Document

    Executive summary

    PDF 98.69 KB

  • Document

    Economic outlook

    PDF 77.69 KB

  • Document

    Infrastructure

    PDF 252.83 KB

  • Document

    Policy and regulation

    PDF 86.79 KB

  • Document

    Demand

    PDF 118.97 KB

  • Document

    Supply-demand balances

    PDF 121.11 KB

  • Document

    Costs

    PDF 84.05 KB

  • Document

    Prices

    PDF 81.04 KB

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