Commodity market report

Belgium gas markets long-term outlook H2 2014

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Report summary

Mild temperatures throughout 2014 resulted in weak gas demand in Belgium.We expect prices to recover this winter as reduced flexibility from Dutch production combined with reduced LNG imports across Europe will put pressure on prices. However with oil price falling below US$70/bbl in December expectations on future spot gas prices in Belgium have been reduced. We continue to expect an oversupplied market around 2020 leading to a collapse in prices before prices recover in the long term.

What's included

This report contains

  • Document

    EGAPS Belgium Gas H2 2014.xls

    XLS 1.12 MB

  • Document

    Belgium gas markets long-term outlook H2 2014

    PDF 711.54 KB

  • Document

    Belgium gas markets long-term outlook H2 2014

    ZIP 1021.28 KB

  • Document

    Executive summary

    PDF 84.67 KB

  • Document

    Economic outlook

    PDF 89.78 KB

  • Document

    Market structure

    PDF 82.49 KB

  • Document

    Policy and regulation

    PDF 84.43 KB

  • Document

    Demand

    PDF 118.20 KB

  • Document

    Infrastructure

    PDF 356.19 KB

  • Document

    Contracts

    PDF 82.06 KB

  • Document

    Supply-demand balances

    PDF 102.56 KB

  • Document

    Costs

    PDF 111.34 KB

  • Document

    Prices

    PDF 93.93 KB

  • Document

    Margins

    PDF 88.84 KB

Table of contents

  • Executive summary
  • Economic outlook
  • Market structure
  • Policy and regulation
  • Demand
  • Infrastructure
  • Contracts
  • Supply-demand balances
  • Costs
  • Prices
  • Margins

Tables and charts

This report includes 34 images and tables including:

Images

  • GDP forecast - Belgium
  • Infrastructure: Image 1
  • Supply demand gap
  • Costs: Image 1
  • Belgian Price Forecast
  • Belgian Supply Outlook
  • Contribution to growth H2 2014 - all sectors (2014-35)
  • Non power gas demand by sector (2014-2035)
  • Existing import capacity
  • Existing export capacity
  • Forecast import capacity
  • Forecast export capacity
  • Historical piped imports
  • Belgium contracted piped imports
  • Historical LNG imports
  • Belgium contracted LNG imports
  • Gas flows into Belgium
  • Transit gas flows
  • LNG Flows into Belgium
  • Historical consumer prices (2007-2013)
  • Household sector gross margins (2007-2013) based on oil indexed supply contracts
  • Household sector cost breakdown December 2013
  • Industrial sector gross margins (2007-2013) based on oil indexed supply contracts
  • Industrial sector gross margins (2007-2013) based on Zeebrugge wholesale prices
  • Demand: Image 1
  • Existing infrastructure – gas storage (volume in mcm)
  • Prices: Image 1
  • Prices: Image 2

Tables

  • Q3 2014 Economic indicators (2005-2035)
  • Belgian gas network
  • Key offices
  • Tariffs at interconnection points 2013/2014
  • Costs: Table 2
  • Costs: Table 3

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