Commodity market report
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19 Pages

Canada gas markets long-term outlook H2 2013

Canada gas markets long-term outlook H2 2013

Report summary

2013 has been a challenging year for Canadian producers, as AECO prices went on a wild ride from $3.50/mmbtu to $1.80/mmbtu and back to $3.50/mmbtu in the span of five months. While much of this can be explained by changes in TransCanada mainline rates, the underlying fundamentals reflect a more sobering story

What's included?

This report includes 6 file(s)

  • Canada gas markets long-term outlook H2 2013 PDF - 1.07 MB 19 Pages, 3 Tables, 13 Figures
  • NAGS LTV Demand Breakout Fall 2013.xls XLS - 2.72 MB
  • NAGS LTV Infrastructure and Storage Fall 2013.xls XLS - 250.00 KB
  • NAGS LTV Supply and Demand Fall 2013.xls XLS - 1.87 MB
  • NAGS LTV Price Outlook Fall 2013.xls XLS - 878.50 KB
  • Canadian Gas Markets - Fall 2013.pdf PDF - 1002.37 KB


Volatility in oil markets and the growth of unconventional gas supply have created a high degree of uncertainty about future gas demand and the direction of gas prices.

This Gas Markets Long Term Outlook report forecasts future pricing, based on deep analysis of gas supply and demand fundamentals. Additionally, it addresses complex questions on gas flows, identifies future opportunities and informs fuel purchasing strategies.

Participants and investors can use this long term outlook report to understand gas markets and assess the impact of global gas dynamics and key market drivers.

Wood Mackenzie provides detailed supply, demand and price forecasts based on our integrated upstream, power, coal and LNG research. Our regional gas experts are based in the markets they analyse, providing comprehensive analyses of regional and global gas markets.

If you want to understand complex gas market dynamics and plan for the future, Wood Mackenzie is the premier resource to help you gain a clear, competitive advantage.

  • Executive summary
  • Supply
    • Regional overview
      • Eastern Canada
      • Alberta
      • Saskatchewan
      • British Columbia
      • Arctic/Frontier
    • Key plays
      • Montney shale
      • Duvernay shale
      • Horn River shale
  • Demand
    • Oil Sands
    • Power
    • Core industrial
    • Residential and commercial
    • Natural gas vehicles and marine bunkering
  • Trade
    • Pipeline exports to the US
      • Eastern Canada and Northeast US: TransCanada mainline crucial to debottlenecking WCSB
      • Midwest US: competition abounds with Marcellus and Bakken
      • Pacific Northwest: increasing market share as Rockies supply flow southbound
    • LNG exports
      • Global LNG markets
      • Export
      • policy
      • Proposed projects
      • Contracts
  • Prices
    • North America: go south for higher prices
    • Infrastructure developments
      • Western Canada: producer-driven projects for market access
      • Midstream: new processing capacity to accommodate wet gas drilling
      • Eastern Canada: utility-driven projects for supply diversity
    • Regional Basis
      • Western Canada: a race to the bottom
      • Eastern Canada: competing for supplies

In this report there are 16 tables or charts, including:

  • Executive summary
  • Supply
    • Table 1. Key Canada supply metrics
  • Demand
    • Chart 1. Canadian natural gas demand
    • Demand: Image 2
    • Demand: Table 1
    • Demand: Image 3
    • Chart 4. Load growth outlook (vs. 2013)
    • Chart 5. Natural gas demand for transportation
  • Trade
    • Trade: Image 1
    • Trade: Image 2
    • Trade: Image 3
    • Chart 9. Flows on major pipes from the WCSB to Midwest and Pacific Northwest
    • Chart 10. LNG exports from British Columbia
    • Table 3. Proposed Canadian LNG supply projects
  • Prices
    • Chart 11. North American natural gas prices
    • Prices: Image 2
    • Chart 13. Eastern Canada basis outlook
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Why Wood Mackenzie?

Wood Mackenzie, a Verisk Analytics business, has been a trusted source of commercial intelligence for the world's natural resources sector for more than 40 years, empowering clients to make better strategic decisions with objective analysis and advice.

We work across every sector of oil, gas, power, renewables, chemicals, metals and mining, covering more than 150 countries. Our proprietary data and models are at the core of everything we do, ensuring our independent asset and company valuations are thoroughly robust and that we offer an accurate forward-looking view of economic indicators such as market supply, demand and price trends.

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