Commodity market report

Canada gas markets long-term outlook H2 2014

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Report summary

While AECO averages $4 in 2014 it could take more than a decade before AECO breaks $4 again when WCSB finds a steady outlet to the global gas markets with LNG projects on the US West Coast and Canada. Before then AECO needs to discount significantly to compete into the US Midwest and Pacific markets.

What's included

This report contains

  • Document

    Canada gas markets long-term outlook H2 2014

    PDF 727.42 KB

  • Document

    Canada gas markets long-term outlook H2 2014

    ZIP 3.95 MB

  • Document

    NAGS LTV Demand Breakout Fall 2014.xls

    XLS 1.88 MB

  • Document

    NAGS LTV Infrastructure Fall 2014.xls

    XLS 158.50 KB

  • Document

    NAGS LTV Price Outlook Fall 2014.xls

    XLS 773.50 KB

  • Document

    NAGS LTV Price Outlook Fall 2014 themes version.xls

    XLS 629.50 KB

  • Document

    NAGS LTV Supply and Demand Fall 2014.xls

    XLS 1.88 MB

  • Document

    NAGS LTV Supply and Demand Fall 2014 old Cost of Supply.xls

    XLS 1.89 MB

  • Document

    NAGS New Industrial Capacity Q1 2015.xls

    XLS 580.50 KB

  • Document

    NAGS Small-scale Liquefaction Capacity Q1 2015.xls

    XLS 172.00 KB

  • Document

    Executive summary

    PDF 70.82 KB

  • Document

    Supply

    PDF 111.75 KB

  • Document

    Demand

    PDF 111.76 KB

  • Document

    Prices

    PDF 99.89 KB

  • Document

    Trade

    PDF 426.40 KB

Table of contents

  • Executive summary
  • Supply
  • Demand
  • Prices
  • Trade

Tables and charts

This report includes 23 images and tables including:

Images

  • Canadian drilling forecast by target
  • Key shale drilling forecast
  • Canadian natural gas demand
  • Provincial gas demand for power
  • Load growth outlook (vs. 2014)
  • North American natural gas prices
  • Canadian exports by market
  • Net piped exports
  • WCSB dependent LNG export projects
  • Impact of oil price (WTI) changes to gas breakevens in Canada
  • Demand: Image 2
  • Demand: Image 5
  • Western Canada basis outlook
  • Eastern Canada basis outlook
  • Flow outlook on TransCanada mainline
  • Flows on major US export pipelines
  • Midwest demand by supply area
  • Key export infrastructure
  • Alberta production by key area
  • British Columbia production by key area

Tables

  • Small-scale LNG project overview
  • Trade: Table 2
  • Eastern Canada LNG project overview

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