Commodity market report

China gas markets long-term outlook H1 2017

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Report summary

China's gas demand has gained firmer growth prospects. Admittedly promoting gas becomes more challenging amid severe overcapacity in the coal and power markets but latest energy policies confirm China's determination to divert away from coal. Gas is seen by policymakers as a realistic choice and an integral part in a cleaner energy structure. In this update we've further revised up demand in 2020 2030 compared with our H2 2016 outlook based on expected policy support to gas and improved fuel economics. By 2035 China gas demand will be treble the 2016 levels.

What's included

This report contains

  • Document

    China Gas Data H1.xls

    XLS 1.87 MB

  • Document

    China gas markets long-term outlook H1 2017

    PDF 2.27 MB

  • Document

    China gas markets long-term outlook H1 2017

    ZIP 2.66 MB

  • Document

    Executive summary

    PDF 119.06 KB

  • Document

    Economic outlook

    PDF 57.41 KB

  • Document

    Policy and regulation

    PDF 231.31 KB

  • Document

    Demand

    PDF 146.94 KB

  • Document

    Supply

    PDF 146.74 KB

  • Document

    Costs

    PDF 86.29 KB

  • Document

    Trade

    PDF 1.43 MB

  • Document

    Infrastructure

    PDF 450.60 KB

  • Document

    Supply-demand balances

    PDF 92.65 KB

  • Document

    Prices

    PDF 96.10 KB

  • Document

    Risks and uncertainties

    PDF 81.13 KB

Table of contents

  • Executive summary
  • Economic outlook
  • Policy and regulation
  • Demand
  • Supply
  • Costs
  • Trade
  • Infrastructure
  • Supply-demand balances
  • Prices
  • Risks and uncertainties

Tables and charts

This report includes 39 images and tables including:

Images

  • China Supply and Demand Balance
  • China energy policy making and regulatory structure
  • Total China gas demand by sector
  • China demand by province
  • Industrial gas demand by province
  • Fertilisers and Chemicals gas demand by province
  • Residential/commercial gas demand by province
  • Demand: Image 6
  • Winter heating gas demand by province
  • Demand: Image 8
  • Demand: Image 9
  • China supply outlook by region/basin
  • Supply: Image 2
  • Supply: Image 3
  • Supply growth by region/basin
  • China supply cost by project – full life breakeven vs import contract price
  • China supply cost by basin - remaining breakeven plus tariff assumption to Shanghai
  • China regasification capacity by status
  • China regasification capacity by company
  • CNOOC LNG capacity by terminal
  • PetroChina LNG capacity by terminal
  • Sinopec LNG capacity by terminal
  • Non-NOC LNG capacity by terminal
  • China LNG terminal map
  • LNG Demand (Contracted vs Uncontracted)
  • Trans-Asia gas pipeline route map
  • Russian export pipeline routes map
  • Assumed Turkmenistan contract price into Shanghai (2017 terms)
  • Contracted LNG by import company
  • Contracted LNG by exporting country
  • End-user prices vs. competing fuel

Tables

  • Economic Indicators
  • China gas demand by province
  • China gas market balance
  • China power market balance
  • Summary of 13th Five Year Plan energy targets
  • Additional key policy events in 2016-2017
  • Key domestic gas infrastructure - existing
  • China contracted LNG by Project & Buyer (SPAs and HOAs)

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