Commodity market report

Europe gas and power markets short-term outlook Q3 2017

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Report summary

LNG imports into Europe are increasing a trend that needs to continue with all the new global LNG supply coming on stream. US LNG offtakers will turn to the European market on a greater scale to place volumes. However we expect Russia to defend market share resulting in some US LNG shuts in and dragging NBP as low as US$3.5/mmbtu in 2019. Through 2018 and 2019 weakening gas prices will lend increased support to the economics of CCGT based generators. Older less efficient coal fired plants will look increasingly unattractive while even the most modern parts in the German coal fleet will be threatened as gas shapes up to be a real competitor for market share. This report includes an outlook for European gas balances and forecast North West European gas and power prices out to Q4 2019.

What's included

This report contains

  • Document

    European gas and power short term price outlook Q3 2017.xls

    XLS 450.50 KB

  • Document

    Europe gas and power markets short-term outlook Q3 2017

    PDF 381.37 KB

  • Document

    Europe gas and power markets short-term outlook Q3 2017

    ZIP 504.61 KB

Table of contents

  • Executive summary
  • Supply-demand balances
  • Prices

Tables and charts

This report includes 10 images and tables including:

Images

  • Gas Prices
  • Economics of US LNG to Europe
  • Key markets data
  • Storage inventories*
  • Russian gas imports
  • European base load power prices
  • UK base load prices - year-on-year comparison
  • Clean spreads (base load) - UK
  • DE base load prices - year-on-year comparison
  • Clean spreads (base load) - Germany

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