Commodity Market Report

Europe gas demand long-term outlook H2 2018

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14 February 2019

Europe gas demand long-term outlook H2 2018

Report summary

Gas demand in Europe in 2018 has stalled for the first time since 2013-14. The return to growth in 2015 was driven by a return to normal weather conditions, whilst continued growth in 2016 and 2017 was reinforced by hydro and nuclear shortfalls in the power sector. 2018 reversed that; hydro was replenished and nuclear output improved. Overall gas demand dropped in 2018 due to lower demand in the residential sector. Longer-term, gas-fired generation will be supported by lower coal and nuclear output – enough to offset the growth in renewables. Policy decisions are accelerating the phase-out of coal and nuclear capacity. The plight of coal generators is challenged by higher fuel costs and higher carbon prices, while cost overruns and delays compound our lower nuclear outlook. Conversely, falling costs and sustained policy support strengthen the outlook for renewables. Gas demand across the non-power sectors remains stable.

Table of contents

  • Residential and commercial sectors
  • Industrial sector
  • Other sectors
  • Road transport
  • Domestic navigation LNG bunkers
  • International marine LNG bunkers

Tables and charts

This report includes 4 images and tables including:

  • Residential and commercial gas demand by sub-region
  • Industrial gas demand by sub-region
  • Road transport gas demand
  • Demand outlook comparison for EU-28

What's included

This report contains:

  • Document

    Europe gas demand long-term outlook H2 2018

    PDF 877.74 KB

  • Document

    Europe gas demand long-term outlook H2 2018

    ZIP 1.27 MB

  • Document

    Europe gas demand long-term H2 2018.xlsx

    XLSX 507.31 KB

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