Commodity Market Report

Europe gas imports and contracts long-term outlook H1 2018

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15 August 2018

Europe gas imports and contracts long-term outlook H1 2018

Report summary

 Europe's reliance on imports has continued to rise, with the region importing more than 75 bcm than just two years earlier. With a tighter market, prices have responded, topping traditional oil-indexed levels. And as demand remains resilient and indigenous production continues to fall, we estimate Europe will need to import an additional 85 bcm by 2025 compared to 2017. Between 2015 and 2017, 60% of the increased imports came from Russia; there is additional market space in Europe for further Russian increases as well as incremental rises in LNG supply. Post-2025, we see scope for new regas capacity in Europe, with LNG accounting for a quarter of the European market, up from 12% in 2017.

Table of contents

  • Navigation Table - European long-term gas & power
  • Executive summary
    • Flow dynamics - Russia
    • Flow dynamics - Norway
    • Flow dynamics – North Africa
    • Flow dynamics – Southern Corridor
    • Flow dynamics – LNG

Tables and charts

This report includes 25 images and tables including:

  • Navigation Table - European long-term gas & power: Table 1
  • Europe gas supply-demand balance
  • Supply-demand balances: Image 2
  • Supply-demand balances: Image 3
  • Supply-demand balances: Image 4
  • Supply-demand balances: Image 5
  • Supply-demand balances: Image 6
  • Supply-demand balances: Image 7
  • Russia future pipeline gas contract expiries (pre-2025)
  • Supply-demand balances: Image 8
  • Supply-demand balances: Image 9
  • Supply-demand balances: Image 10
  • Supply-demand balances: Image 11
  • Norway future pipe contract expiries (pre-2025)
  • Supply-demand balances: Image 12
  • Supply-demand balances: Image 13
  • Supply-demand balances: Image 14
  • Supply-demand balances: Image 15
  • North Africa future pipe contract expiries (pre-2025)
  • Supply-demand balances: Image 16
  • Supply-demand balances: Image 17
  • Supply-demand balances: Image 18
  • LNG flows into Europe by importing region
  • Supply-demand balances: Image 20
  • Supply-demand balances: Image 21

What's included

This report contains:

  • Document

    Europe Gas Imports and Contracts H1 18.xlsx

    XLSX 580.13 KB

  • Document

    Europe gas imports and contracts long-term outlook H1 2018

    PDF 831.52 KB

  • Document

    Europe gas imports and contracts long-term outlook H1 2018

    ZIP 1.22 MB

  • Document

    Executive summary

    PDF 694.41 KB

  • Document

    Supply-demand balances

    PDF 822.43 KB

  • Document

    Navigation Table - European long-term gas & power

    PDF 680.64 KB

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