Commodity market report

Europe gas markets long-term outlook H1 2016

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Report summary

The European gas market is going through profound changes driven by policy decisions and a backdrop of challenging market fundamentals including the recent fall in oil price. The on going Russia Ukraine crisis adds further uncertainty. How these changes play out will dictate how the European market and ultimately prices will evolve. Wood Mackenzie believes that a significant tipping point has been reached whereby Russia is now incentivised to pursue market share in European gas markets. This is due to a combination of greater LNG supply availability to Europe lower coal prices and a higher US gas price.

What's included

This report contains

  • Document

    Europe gas markets long-term outlook - H1 2016.xls

    XLS 1.55 MB

  • Document

    Europe gas markets long-term outlook H1 2016

    PDF 974.74 KB

  • Document

    Europe gas markets long-term outlook H1 2016

    ZIP 1.27 MB

  • Document

    Executive summary

    PDF 80.17 KB

  • Document

    Economic outlook

    PDF 80.62 KB

  • Document

    Policy and regulation

    PDF 198.96 KB

  • Document

    Demand

    PDF 125.95 KB

  • Document

    Supply

    PDF 101.69 KB

  • Document

    Infrastructure

    PDF 522.79 KB

  • Document

    Contracts

    PDF 93.80 KB

  • Document

    Costs

    PDF 86.18 KB

  • Document

    Supply-demand balances

    PDF 168.11 KB

  • Document

    Risks and uncertainties

    PDF 57.03 KB

Table of contents

  • Executive summary
  • Economic outlook
  • Policy and regulation
  • Demand
  • Supply
  • Infrastructure
  • Contracts
  • Costs
  • Supply-demand balances
  • Risks and uncertainties

Tables and charts

This report includes 33 images and tables including:

Images

  • Q1 2016 GDP growth (2010-2035)
  • Energy Union package
  • Gas demand by sector
  • Domestic gas supply
  • Key infrastructure
  • NW Europe delivered cost curve
  • Southern Europe delivered cost curve
  • Capacity growth by fuel*
  • Power generation mix*
  • Regas capacity by status
  • Regas capacity and contracted volumes
  • Pipe capacity
  • Pipe capacity and contracted volumes
  • Europe supply-demand gap
  • Europe contestable demand and competing supply
  • Europe demand and supply mix
  • Europe contestable demand and supply mix
  • Russia contracted and uncontracted flows into Europe
  • Russia flows by major pipelines into Europe
  • Norway contracted and uncontracted flows into Europe
  • Norway flows by major pipelines into Europe
  • Algeria contracted and uncontracted flows into Europe
  • Algeria flows by major pipelines into Europe
  • Turkey demand and supply (including transit)
  • Southern Corridor flows (transiting Turkey)
  • Contracted and flexible LNG flows into Europe by importing regions
  • Total LNG flows into Europe by importing regions
  • Contracted and flexible LNG flows into Europe by exporting regions
  • Total LNG flows into Europe by exporting regions
  • Carbon emissions forecast versus targets - EU 28

Tables

  • EU Energy Security Package
  • EU Third Energy Package
  • EU climate-energy targets

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